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- Moved everything from ideas/passepartout/ to projects/passepartout/ - Moved legal structures to projects/flags/ - Created missing _index.org files for all subdirectories - Stripped redundant passepartout- prefix from filenames - Rewrote root _index.org as generalized brain index (projects + concepts) - Updated Hugo nav to Projects/Concepts - Updated build script section descriptions - Deleted stale ideas/passepartout-economics.md orphan
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First-Mover Window Analysis
First-Mover Window Analysis
The first-mover window is the time in which a new compliance tool can establish dominance before incumbents respond or the market settles on a standard approach.
| Window | Frameworks | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Critical (<12 months) | EU AI Act (Aug 2026 effective), NIS2 (Oct 2025 deadline), DORA (Jan 2025 — already in effect) | Regulation is active or imminent. Buyers are desperate. No established vendor. |
| Wide (12-36 months) | DPDP Act 2023 (rules drafting), India privacy; Privacy Act Review (Australia); Quebec Law 25; CRA phased enforcement | Regulation not yet fully enforced. Rules being written. Market forming. |
| Mature (commodity) | GDPR (2018), SOX (2002), HIPAA (1996), GLBA (1999), Basel III (2010), FATF 40 Recs | Market has established vendors. First-mover advantage requires displacing incumbents via superior architecture. |
| Latent (undiscovered) | OECD AI Principles, UN/CEFACT, World Bank ESF, IFC PS | Compliance exists but is document-based or consultant-delivered. No software market has formed. The first gate package creates the category. |
These windows define which frameworks are worth building a gate package for first. The compliance index maps each to a verification appliance gate package, and the revenue table sizes the market. The verification monopoly dynamics determine which window to enter first.