#+TITLE: PDS Hosting Competitive Pricing Analysis
#+author: User
#+created: [2026-03-16 Mon 14:28]
#+ID: 20260314_pds_hosting_competitive_pricing
#+FILETAGS: agora business pricing pds hosting competitive-analysis @personal

* PDS Hosting Competitive Pricing Analysis

** Purpose

Benchmark pricing for Agora Personal Data Store (PDS) hosting services against existing decentralized social network hosting providers.

** Mastodon Managed Hosting Benchmarks

*** Masto.host (Market Leader)

*Personal/Small Group Plans:*

| Plan | Price | Database | Media Storage | Users | Processing Threads |
|------|-------|----------|---------------|-------|------------------|
| Moon | $6/mo | 2 GB | 20 GB | 5 active | 2 threads |
| Planet | $9/mo | 5 GB | 50 GB | 20 active | 4 threads |
| Star | $19/mo | 10 GB | 100 GB | 100 active | 8 threads |

*Community Plans:*

| Plan | Price | Database | Media Storage | Users | Processing Threads |
|------|-------|----------|---------------|-------|------------------|
| Constellation | $39/mo | 20 GB | 200 GB | 500 active | 20 threads |
| Galaxy | $89/mo | 40 GB | 400 GB | 2000 active | 50 threads |

*Add-ons:*
- Extra Resources: $10/month (adds 4 threads, 4 GB DB, 40 GB storage)
- ElasticSearch: $5-10/month (full-text search)

*All plans include:*
- Hosting and maintenance
- Automatic installation and updates
- Email notifications
- Daily remote backups
- Free subdomain or custom domain
- TLS certificate (Let's Encrypt)
- Automated cache deletion

** Bluesky PDS Hosting

*Current State:*
- Bluesky operates on the AT Protocol
- PDS (Personal Data Server) is self-hostable
- Limited commercial PDS hosting providers (ecosystem still emerging)
- Most users currently on Bluesky's official PDS (free, but centralized)

*Self-Hosting Requirements (from AT Protocol docs):*
- Minimum: 2 CPU cores, 4 GB RAM, 20 GB storage
- Recommended: 4+ CPU cores, 8 GB RAM, 100 GB+ storage
- Cost equivalent: ~$10-40/month on VPS (DigitalOcean, AWS, etc.)

** Other Mastodon Hosting Providers

*Pricing comparison (estimated from market research):*

| Provider | Entry Price | Entry Specs | Notes |
|----------|-------------|-------------|-------|
| Masto.host | $6/mo | 2GB DB, 20GB media | Market leader, reliable |
| Spacebear | €5/mo (~$5.50) | Similar to Moon | EU-based |
| Fosstodon | $5/mo | Community-focused | Non-profit |
| Self-hosted | $5-20/mo | Variable | Requires technical skill |

** Agora PDS Hosting Recommendations

*** Pricing Strategy

*Positioning:* Match or slightly undercut Masto.host (market leader)

*Recommended Tiers:*

| Tier | Price | Storage | Features | Target |
|------|-------|---------|----------|--------|
| Seed | $5/mo | 10 GB | Basic PDS, backups | Individual users |
| Sprout | $10/mo | 50 GB | PDS + Relay access | Active users |
| Tree | $20/mo | 200 GB | PDS + Relay + Priority | Power users |
| Forest | $50/mo | 1 TB | Enterprise PDS cluster | Communities |

*Key differentiators from Mastodon:*
1. *Lightning-native payments* (not credit card only)
2. *PDS + Relay bundled* (Mastodon separates these)
3. *Validator Oracle credits* included (for developers)
4. *Cross-platform identity* (not just Mastodon federation)

*** Revenue Projections

*Conservative (Year 1):*
- 100 Seed users: $500/month
- 50 Sprout users: $500/month
- 20 Tree users: $400/month
- *Total: $1,400/month ($16,800/year)*

*Optimistic (Year 2):*
- 500 Seed users: $2,500/month
- 200 Sprout users: $2,000/month
- 100 Tree users: $2,000/month
- 10 Forest users: $500/month
- *Total: $7,000/month ($84,000/year)*

** Technical Cost Basis

*Infrastructure costs (estimated):*

| User Tier | Server Cost | Storage Cost | Margin |
|-----------|-------------|--------------|--------|
| Seed ($5) | ~$2/mo | ~$0.50/mo | ~50% |
| Sprout ($10) | ~$4/mo | ~$2/mo | ~40% |
| Tree ($20) | ~$8/mo | ~$5/mo | ~35% |
| Forest ($50) | ~$20/mo | ~$10/mo | ~40% |

*Note:* Margins improve with scale (shared infrastructure, bulk storage).

** Competitive Advantages

1. *Protocol-level integration:* PDS + Relay + Validator Oracles as unified service
2. *Bitcoin/Lightning payments:* Lower fees, better privacy, global accessibility
3. *Sovereign identity:* Users truly own their data (not just "managed hosting")
4. *No vendor lock-in:* Easy export/migration (content-addressed data)
5. *Community governance:* Revenue shares with Relay operators

** Risks

1. *Market education:* Users don't yet understand PDS concept
2. *Competition:* Bluesky may offer free PDS hosting long-term
3. *Technical complexity:* PDS setup harder than Mastodon
4. *Scale economics:* Need ~500+ users to reach profitability

** Next Steps

TODO  Validate pricing with potential users
TODO  Build MVP PDS hosting infrastructure
TODO  Create cost calculator for infrastructure planning
TODO  Research VPS/reseller hosting partnerships

** Related

- [[file:20260314_agora_open_source_business_models.org][Agora Open Source Business Models]]
- [[file:agora-pds-relay-architecture.org][Agora PDS & Relay Architecture]]
- [[file:agora-lightning-economics.org][Agora Lightning Economics]]

** Sources

- Masto.host pricing: https://masto.host/pricing/ (accessed 2026-03-14)
- AT Protocol documentation: https://atproto.com/
- Mastodon hosting market research (various providers)
