reorganized folder structure
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gharbeia.net/content/posts/Atoms, Bits and Cells/layout.md
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gharbeia.net/content/posts/Atoms, Bits and Cells/layout.md
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Atoms, Bits and Cells: How to Hedge your Future in the Coming Decades
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Atoms, Bits and Cells: Personal Strategies for the Coming Decades
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Introduction
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# The problem
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## The Church of Progress
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## In parabola, the past is no indictor of the future
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## If not business as usual, then what?
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### Drexler vs Holmgren
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### Up scenario
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### Down scenario
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# Atoms
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# Bits
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# Cells
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# Beyond Personal: Collective
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Two singularities, disruption anyway
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Decouple livelihood and economy, either by bitcoin or physical resilience
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Changes in quantity become changes in quality after a few orders of magnitude
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Action follows awareness only in smaller numbers, and precedes it in larger numbers
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Do not fix with speech what you can fix with privacy
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Do not fix on a large scale what you can fix on a small scale
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Minimalism does not exist. Frugality does
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Shorten supply chains
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All exponential growth is unsustainable. Progressives worry about exponential carbon growth. Conservatives worry about exponential debt growth.
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Holmgren's Future Scenarios as the best framework for understanding the 21st century
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Climate Change is real. 2 degrees, 350-400ppm, interational agreements are not effective measures, were thought up only because they seem reasonable in policy circles
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ERoEI is the most important factor you have probably never heard of
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We are on a Brown Tech scenario
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Holmgren's update, including monetary policy
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Bitcoin is wasteful, compared to what?
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If you are for degrowth, what is better than a disinflationary monetary policy?
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Bitcoin can reign in Facist trends in a Brown Tech scenario by being censorship resistant
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Forget wealth distribution, global economic contraction is underway and is not necessarily (or likely, due to Bitcoin) linked to wealth distrubution
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Renweables are not carbon negative throughout their lifetime
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Depopulation, (proactive) rewilding are positive dynamics
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Sustainability = Technology * Economy. Sustainability needs to be under 1.0 (perhaps way under to make up for runaway climate change, 0.7?)
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A second great depression is the best hope for the planet, as Holmgren puts it
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The nested scenario is evident in Bitcoin
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Credit crunch kills expensive fossil fuels like tar sands and shale oil
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What do demographic predicitions look like in the coming 100 years with longevity technologies taken into account?
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Relative importance of atoms categories at each time frame
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49
gharbeia.net/content/posts/Atoms, Bits and Cells/layout.org
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49
gharbeia.net/content/posts/Atoms, Bits and Cells/layout.org
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@@ -0,0 +1,49 @@
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Atoms, Bits and Cells: How to Hedge your Future in the Coming Decades
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Atoms, Bits and Cells: Personal Strategies for the Coming Decades
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||||
|
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Introduction
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# The problem
|
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## The Church of Progress
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## In parabola, the past is no indictor of the future
|
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## If not business as usual, then what?
|
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### Drexler vs Holmgren
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### Up scenario
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### Down scenario
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# Atoms
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# Bits
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# Cells
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# Beyond Personal: Collective
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|
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Two singularities, disruption anyway
|
||||
|
||||
|
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Decouple livelihood and economy, either by bitcoin or physical resilience
|
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Changes in quantity become changes in quality after a few orders of magnitude
|
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Action follows awareness only in smaller numbers, and precedes it in larger numbers
|
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Do not fix with speech what you can fix with privacy
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Do not fix on a large scale what you can fix on a small scale
|
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Minimalism does not exist. Frugality does
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Shorten supply chains
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All exponential growth is unsustainable. Progressives worry about exponential carbon growth. Conservatives worry about exponential debt growth.
|
||||
|
||||
|
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Holmgren's Future Scenarios as the best framework for understanding the 21st century
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Climate Change is real. 2 degrees, 350-400ppm, interational agreements are not effective measures, were thought up only because they seem reasonable in policy circles
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ERoEI is the most important factor you have probably never heard of
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We are on a Brown Tech scenario
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Holmgren's update, including monetary policy
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Bitcoin is wasteful, compared to what?
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If you are for degrowth, what is better than a disinflationary monetary policy?
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Bitcoin can reign in Facist trends in a Brown Tech scenario by being censorship resistant
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Forget wealth distribution, global economic contraction is underway and is not necessarily (or likely, due to Bitcoin) linked to wealth distrubution
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Renweables are not carbon negative throughout their lifetime
|
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Depopulation, (proactive) rewilding are positive dynamics
|
||||
Sustainability = Technology * Economy. Sustainability needs to be under 1.0 (perhaps way under to make up for runaway climate change, 0.7?)
|
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A second great depression is the best hope for the planet, as Holmgren puts it
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The nested scenario is evident in Bitcoin
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Credit crunch kills expensive fossil fuels like tar sands and shale oil
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What do demographic predicitions look like in the coming 100 years with longevity technologies taken into account?
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Relative importance of atoms categories at each time frame
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@@ -0,0 +1,17 @@
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---
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title: "Brown Bitcoin and desired deflation"
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date: 2021-03-02T17:10:25-06:00
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draft: true
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---
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Holmgren's Future Scenarios as the best framework for understanding the 21st century
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Climate Change is real. 2 degrees, 350-400ppm, interational agreements are not effective measures, were thought up only because they seem reasonable in policy circles
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ERoEI is the most important factor you have probably never heard of
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We are on a Browh Tech scenario
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Holmgren's update, including monetary policy
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Bitcoin is wasteful, compared to what?
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If you are for degrowth, what is better than a disinflationary monetary policy?
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Bitcoin can reign in Facist trends in a Brown Tech scenario by being censorship resistant
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Forget wealth distribution, global economic contraction is underway and is not necessarily (or likely, due to Bitcoin) linked to wealth distrubution
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Renweables are not carbon negative throughout their lifetime
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@@ -0,0 +1,17 @@
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---
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title: "Brown Bitcoin and desired deflation"
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date: 2021-03-02T17:10:25-06:00
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draft: true
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---
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Holmgren's Future Scenarios as the best framework for understanding the 21st century
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Climate Change is real. 2 degrees, 350-400ppm, interational agreements are not effective measures, were thought up only because they seem reasonable in policy circles
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ERoEI is the most important factor you have probably never heard of
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We are on a Browh Tech scenario
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Holmgren's update, including monetary policy
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Bitcoin is wasteful, compared to what?
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If you are for degrowth, what is better than a disinflationary monetary policy?
|
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Bitcoin can reign in Facist trends in a Brown Tech scenario by being censorship resistant
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Forget wealth distribution, global economic contraction is underway and is not necessarily (or likely, due to Bitcoin) linked to wealth distrubution
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Renweables are not carbon negative throughout their lifetime
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