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1_daily/2016-08-11.org

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+:PROPERTIES:
+:ID: 3efb3085-a2d8-42d0-b676-f9262755a60c
+:END:
+#+title: 2016-08-11
+
+* Academic Writing :academia:CSLA:
+:PROPERTIES:
+:CREATED: [2016-08-11 06:48:36+0100]
+:MODIFIED: [2016-08-11 08:23:15+0100]
+:IMPORTED: [2023-02-08 19:22:45-0500]
+:END:
+
+"You have to show on the page that you are aware why you are making the decisions you are making."
+
+There is not a huge difference between a proposal and introduction in an academic article.
+
+* Migration :academia:CSLA:
+
+:PROPERTIES:
+:CREATED: [2016-08-11 Thu 15:01]
+:MODIFIED: [2016-08-11 Thu 15:13]
+:IMPORTED: [2023-02-08 Wed 19:22]
+:END:
+
+Migration slowed down since 2010
+
+Climate change indicator.
+
+* Towards a theory of two-step push factors :academia:CSLA:
+
+:PROPERTIES:
+:CREATED: [2016-08-11 Thu 19:15]
+:MODIFIED: [2016-08-13 Sat 07:36]
+:IMPORTED: [2023-02-08 Wed 19:22]
+:END:
+
+Context: Emigration from tropic and sub-tropic regions South of the Mediterranean to Europe has been accelerating for decades. This accelerated emigration is often related to breakdown of social and political systems in countries of origin. A coinciding global change is accelerating desertification in tropic and sub-tropic areas, resulting in loss of arable soil (water and carbon sinks).
+
+Gap: No or weak connection has been made between emigration and desertification.
+
+Significance: Current policy tackling emigration disconnected from deeper causing factors is less likely to yield positive results.
+
+Thesis: There is a positive corelation between accelerating desertification (another angle is the common climate change CO2 emissions), and accelerated emigration from decertifying areas.
+
+Method/Framework: This will be done by comparing a primary desertification indicator (possibly International Panel on Climate Change indicators over two decades) with International Organisation of Migration data series over the same period.
+
+Plan
+
+Section 1: Review accelerated emigration attributed to political instability and economic problems
+
+Section 2: Define desertification, demonstrate its acceleration
+
+Section 3: Compare data and demonstrate corelation
+
+Limitations
+
+space:
+
+time: 2015-1995 give or take a few
+
+Risks
+
+it has been done before, and I am just ignorant
+
+it needs me more time than I have
+
+it is beyond my skill
+
+mapping emigration data (usually by state) to climate data (usually by eco-region)
+
+Potential Sources
+
+IOM data sets
+
+Possibly IPCC emissions data. Still needs to find useful desertification indicator
+
+The world now is a place where there is greater liberty of movement for capital and goods, and a lesser liberty of movement for information and people. An increasingly near future where the combined effect of climate change and end of cheap energy mean the reverse: reduced movement of goods for the benefit of information, and reduced movement of capital for the benefit of people.