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#+title: 2023-10-03

* Automating Egyptian Gazette archiving

Every month I need to
- find Egyptian Gazette emails in my EIPR account
- save the files, paying attention to duplicates often sent
- standardize file naming, by removing
- "العدد "
- "رقم "
- "- مؤمن"
- " مؤمن"
  and other extras from file names.
- moving files to relevant الوقائع المصرية or الجريدة الرسمية folders

* Yesterday


* طنطاوي

كما كان الضباط الأحرار هم الوسيلة التي توقفت بها حركة وطنية أكبر ذات ملامح ديمقراطية تشكلت عبر سنوات الثلاثينيات و الأربعينيات، من الممكن أن يصير الطنطاوي هو الوسيلة التي تحقق بها دولة يوليو أقل قدر من التغيير الممكن باعتبار أنها بالفعل نجحت في تمديد عمرها لما بعد الوفاة الحقيقية بخمسين عاما.

Tantawi in power now will be the non-transition that Egypt went through under SCAF, the least possible transition given that Sisi has destroyed the possibility for further direct military rule. Possibly himself an Irani flank around Saudi, in no sense will Tantawi usher in a liberal democratic transition in the country, but will try to resuscitate the national liberation state, this time even more mired in regional geopolitics.

* Egypt foreign policy

Either because the US is withdrawing from policing the high seas, or because of increasing challenges to US hegemony in each of the world's regions, Egypt will increasingly find itself in a position where world trade passing through the Suez policed by regional powers: India, KSA, UAE, Turkey, Italy and France. At its visible maximal, Egypt's regional influence and participation in securing world trade will stretch from Bab al Mandeb to the Sicily Straights. This requires two Egyptian fleets and bases in Libya, Sudan and Eritrea, in addition to bases in Egypt: Suez, Port Said, Alexandria and Alamain.

Following this foreign policy, Egypt's military should start looking at itself as a marine power and an African police force, with a focus on mechanized infantry than on armor and supporting fire.

* McCarthy's ousting from the House speakership could go down as the US move away from the Reagan era, of which Trump and MAGA are the last, and most extreme, manifestation. The country has moved on ideologically and demographically. Both parties will pivot to follow.
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:CREATED:  [2023-10-03 Tue 17:19]
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