2.8 KiB
2016-08-11
Academic Writing academia CSLA @personal
"You have to show on the page that you are aware why you are making the decisions you are making."
There is not a huge difference between a proposal and introduction in an academic article.
Migration academia CSLA @personal
Migration slowed down since 2010
Climate change indicator.
Towards a theory of two-step push factors academia CSLA @personal
Context: Emigration from tropic and sub-tropic regions South of the Mediterranean to Europe has been accelerating for decades. This accelerated emigration is often related to breakdown of social and political systems in countries of origin. A coinciding global change is accelerating desertification in tropic and sub-tropic areas, resulting in loss of arable soil (water and carbon sinks).
Gap: No or weak connection has been made between emigration and desertification.
Significance: Current policy tackling emigration disconnected from deeper causing factors is less likely to yield positive results.
Thesis: There is a positive corelation between accelerating desertification (another angle is the common climate change CO2 emissions), and accelerated emigration from decertifying areas.
Method/Framework: This will be done by comparing a primary desertification indicator (possibly International Panel on Climate Change indicators over two decades) with International Organisation of Migration data series over the same period.
Plan
Section 1: Review accelerated emigration attributed to political instability and economic problems
Section 2: Define desertification, demonstrate its acceleration
Section 3: Compare data and demonstrate corelation
Limitations
space:
time: 2015-1995 give or take a few
Risks
it has been done before, and I am just ignorant
it needs me more time than I have
it is beyond my skill
mapping emigration data (usually by state) to climate data (usually by eco-region)
Potential Sources
IOM data sets
Possibly IPCC emissions data. Still needs to find useful desertification indicator
The world now is a place where there is greater liberty of movement for capital and goods, and a lesser liberty of movement for information and people. An increasingly near future where the combined effect of climate change and end of cheap energy mean the reverse: reduced movement of goods for the benefit of information, and reduced movement of capital for the benefit of people.