Commit Graph

75 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Hermes
b2ec6e9c65 Fix OpenCode entry: correct repo is anomalyco/opencode (163K★, Bun/TS), not the archived Go version 2026-05-22 11:09:35 +00:00
Hermes
7610d3a457 Add comprehensive competitive analysis of 8 AI agent platforms 2026-05-22 10:58:10 +00:00
Hermes
77b3bb6e6a Add collective regression suite spec — how the evaluation harness compounds across instances 2026-05-22 00:42:50 +00:00
Hermes
db253a70d5 Add two new nodes: Lisp Machine security (PMP/ECALL architecture) and Common Logic relevance analysis 2026-05-21 19:59:59 +00:00
Hermes
303e8c6306 Convert cross-references from [[id:uuid]] to [[file:name.org]]
All 117 inter-node links now use [[file:node-name.org][title]] format
which renders as clickable hyperlinks in both Emacs (C-c C-o) and
web-based org renderers (Gitea, GitHub). Each node retains its :ID:
UUID property for Emacs org-roam database features (backlinks,
capturing, node-find).

Prev format: [[id:uuid][title]] — Emacs only, dead text on web
New format:  [[file:name.org][title]] — works everywhere
2026-05-21 19:40:54 +00:00
Hermes
9b2be10c77 Restructure economics doc into 27 org-roam interlinked nodes
Replace monolithic passepartout-economics.org with directory of
org-roam style nodes, each with :ID: property and cross-references
using [[id:uuid][title]] format.

27 nodes organized by theme:
- Core: index, triad overview, agora, stoa
- Revenue: verification appliance, domain gate packages, evaluation
  harness, skill marketplace, agora usernames, PDS service, compute marketplace
- Strategy: investment thesis, moats, licensing, patents, AI industry impact
- Analysis: lisp economics, sufficiency flip, time estimates, cost structure,
  gate rule encoding, upgrade lifecycle, biology parallels, symbolics comparison
- Big money: verification monopoly, infrastructure lock-in

Old file kept as archive with redirect links to new structure.
2026-05-21 19:36:02 +00:00
Hermes
747419e2e0 Add Agora username registry and PDS-as-a-service revenue paths 2026-05-21 19:32:50 +00:00
Hermes
da307c5cad tam-business: ~T addressable market, 3-tier monetization model
TAM: ~60B across cloud (00B), AI API (0B), OS (00B),
social media (00B), payments (00B), productivity (0B),
compliance (0B). Even 1% is 0B/year.

Low-hanging fruit (months): verification appliance (-50K/unit),
gate rule subscriptions (0-100K/yr each), evaluation certification
(0-200K), migration services (00-500K). Year one: -12M.

Medium-term (1-3 years): compute marketplace (Agora spread), Relay
Network (per-message fees), Lisp Machine appliance (0-100K/unit).

Big money (3-10 years): verification monopoly (UL for AI agents),
infrastructure lock-in (compounding switching costs), planetary
compute marketplace (network effects at scale).

Thesis: low-hanging fruit sustains development. Medium-term builds
network effects. Big money is venture-scale. The early player
benefits from every other instance because the network effects
are positive sum — this is the AWS of provable computing.
2026-05-21 19:27:48 +00:00
Hermes
3a02e847f9 estimates-revised: velocity-driven timeline, self-writing triad
- Observed velocity: v0.4.0 to v0.7.2 in one day, 80+ Lisp commits.
  Bottleneck is human review of Screamer-flagged 5%, not coding.
- Revised: v1.0.0 in 3-5 weeks (~80 cycles, 2-3h human review).
  Lisp Machine hardware in 2-4 weeks (~60 cycles, ~4-6h review).
  Full Stoa v2.0.0 (editor, browser, shell) in 2-3 weeks.
  Total to self-driving Lisp Machine: 8-12 weeks.
- Beyond bootstrap: system writes Stoa (~150K lines), Agora (~100K),
  hardware VHDL (~50K). Human only writes design decisions and
  reviews the 5% edge cases Screamer flags.
- The triad replaces every layer of computing: cognition, environment,
  network — one gate stack, one prover, no cloud, no gatekeeper,
  no per-token fee. A complete alternative infrastructure that
  the system writes itself, one ACL2-verified submission at a time.
2026-05-21 19:22:24 +00:00
Hermes
434f754c15 triad: Logos (Passepartout), Stoa (the Porch), Agora (the Society)
- Passepartout IS the PDS — memory-object (SHA-256 hash) maps
  directly to Agora Note (CIDv1). Gate stack verifies every note.
- Stoa: Lish editor + Nyxt browser + Lish shell in one Lisp image.
  v2.0.0→v6.0.0: Qt/WebKit erosion to pure-Lisp browser, tagged
  RISC-V hardware, world models.
- Agora: self-sovereign DID, DIDComm, Note primitives, Relay Network,
  compute marketplace, contracts, liquid democracy.
- The triad replaces every layer of the modern computing stack:
  cognition, environment, network, app model, compute, identity,
  commerce — all built on one gate stack, one memory model, one prover.
- Agora implementation is a separate body of work comparable to
  Passepartout itself.
2026-05-21 19:17:28 +00:00
Hermes
d48925de23 estimates: LOC and dev time for self-driving Lisp Machine
- Current Passepartout: ~10,700 lines, 2 months one dev
- To v1.0.0: +4,500 lines, 4-6 months
- Lisp Machine hardware integration: +6,000 lines, 3-6 months
- Total: ~21,000 lines, 9-14 months one dev, 5-7 months team of 2-3
- Why small: Lisp is 3-10x denser, primitives are reused across
  domains, ACL2 proofs replace test fixtures, LLM generates boilerplate
- Comparison: Hermes ~50K, Claude Code ~100K, Llama.cpp ~200K
- Not a moonshot. A well-scoped engineering project.
2026-05-21 19:05:28 +00:00
Hermes
80daaa4830 lisp-machine-bootstrap: all software domains flip in days-weeks
- Every subdomain for bootstrapping the Lisp Machine is software:
  RISC-V ISA, SBCL runtime, ACL2 logic, CIC type theory, compiler
  optimization, device drivers. Every one flips.
- Fastest sequence: Day 1 ingestion (LLM + human review), Day 1-2
  profiling (benchmark sweep), Day 2-3 active probing (synthetic
  microcode routines), Day 3-7 transfer + sufficiency (ACL2 verifies
  new dispatch routines, zero LLM tokens)
- Result: self-driving Lisp Machine in under a month with one
  human review session and a Tenstorrent P150
2026-05-21 18:58:26 +00:00
Hermes
2d0d6d478a per-domain flip: knowledge types and fastest acquisition
- Sufficiency flip is per-domain, not global. Poetry never flips.
- Three knowledge types: structural (published rules), empirical
  (observations), performance (profiling data)
- Fastest acquisition: active sandboxed probing, contrastive queries
  to human (not waiting for HITL to accumulate), ontology transfer
  from related domains, benchmark harness
- Codified domain: flip within days (hours LLM + hours expert review)
- Uncodified learnable domain: flip within weeks (probe + real use)
- Never-flip domains: system is honest, LLM handles 100%
2026-05-21 18:55:11 +00:00
Hermes
b5d59c3360 llm-ability: coding skill is a speed multiplier, not a gate
- LLM proposes code at every bootstrap stage (microcode, CIC kernel,
  macro layers, gate rules) — symbolic engine verifies before accepting
- Weak model = more retries (5-15), strong model = fewer (1-3)
  Both produce 100% verified output because the symbolic engine catches
  all mistakes
- The critical transition: not better LLMs, but the sufficiency flip
  applied to hardware. Once enough facts about runtime behavior
  accumulate, the system proposes microcode optimizations with zero
  LLM tokens.
- Surprise result: a barely competent LLM is sufficient for the full
  bootstrapping chain. It's slower and costs more in API calls, but
  reaches the same destination.
2026-05-21 18:52:19 +00:00
Hermes
f9085a4690 refactoring: semantic equivalence boundary, self-driving Lisp Machine
- ACL2 proves semantic equivalence for Passepartout's own Lisp code
  today; for other languages via logical specification modeling
- CIC prover (future) extends to dependent-type-level equivalence
  across language boundaries
- Self-driving threshold: when system can synthesize and load its
  own FPGA microcode or RISC-V dispatch from within the running image
- Tenstorrent P150 (72 RISC-V cores) is particularly interesting:
  microcode is RISC-V software, not FPGA hardware — system writes,
  compiles, loads, benchmarks its own core dispatch logic
2026-05-21 18:47:49 +00:00
Hermes
852fcae4a6 refactoring: neurosymbolic planner for large codebase changes
Six-stage workflow: codebase ingestion (AST as facts), goal translation
(LLM, 10%), Screamer constraint satisfaction (80%), ACL2 plan verification,
incremental execution with Merkle snapshots per step and rollback on test
failure, final re-verification.

Key limit: ACL2 cannot prove semantic equivalence of arbitrary programs.
Gap filled by: tests as empirical verification, API contract checking
(structural equivalence of public interfaces), human review with full
provenance of semantic changes.

Comparison with Claude Code: Passepartout trades higher up-front planning
overhead for zero-token constraint checks, ACL2-verified scope control,
instant per-step rollback, and a Merkle chain from before to after.
2026-05-21 18:32:19 +00:00
Hermes
18b7c2f06f distribution: tiers, upgrades, and the divergence problem
Three distribution tiers: code-only (AGPL), code+knowledge (commercial
data package), code+knowledge+hardware (verification appliance).

The upgrade challenge: instances diverge in both code and knowledge.
A 'git pull' breaks because new code expects fact structures the old
store doesn't have. Solved by:
- Ontology versioning flags old facts for re-verification
- Degradation to fallback mode, not crash
- Reversible upgrades via Merkle snapshots
- Delta distribution (diffs against current ontology version)
- Per-instance verified migration (run new code against old facts in
  sandbox; ACL2 reports compatibility; operator reviews only failures)

Business model: code free, migration scripts subscription, domain
knowledge packages subscription, firmware bundled with hardware.
2026-05-21 18:22:23 +00:00
Hermes
d32ae4fcb0 reframe: why C won in the 80s and why Lisp is cheaper now
- 1980s: memory K/MB, 1-10MHz CPUs, simple software, testing-sufficient.
  C fit in 64KB; Lisp needed 40MB and GC cycles. The market chose throughput.
- Today: memory and transistors are free (billions on an ARM core).
  Software is too complex for testing alone. Cost of failure > cost of
  verification.
- Inversion: 1980s said correctness is a luxury. 2020s says correctness
  is the only affordable option.
- Passepartout exploits this: verification appliance for K/year replaces
  00K/year in compliance failures.
2026-05-21 18:19:26 +00:00
Hermes
43b83c595a insights: Lisp vs C hardware fork, Passepartout reversal path, microbiology parallels
- The historical fork: C won on economics, not merit — RISC/commodity PC
  ecosystem optimized for C, not for Lisp
- Passepartout's reversal path: verification appliance vertical → FPGA
  Lisp μcode → custom ASIC economics
- Lisp for embedded: compile-to-C (ECL, PreScheme), tiny Lisps (uLisp,
  FemtoLisp), Lisp-as-macro-generator for C
- Microbiology as Lisp: DNA homoiconicity, hot-reloadable image, auto GC,
  interpreted execution, self-modifying source, duck typing, concurrent
  real-time GC (apoptosis)
- Biology proves the Lisp model is efficient at planetary scale
2026-05-21 18:17:08 +00:00
Hermes
0ffad4c315 ideas: Passepartout — patents, moats, economics, design implications
Distillation of discussion with Amr on 2026-05-21 covering:
- Patentability of probabilistic-deterministic split, Merkle memory,
  gate-to-fact bootstrap, macro-layer-as-skill architecture
- AGPLv3 vs MIT for provable-correctness claims
- Moats: empirical decision history, evaluation harness, infrastructure
  integration (time is not the primary moat)
- LLM-as-translator for codified domains (FAR, HIPAA, ISO) —
  encoding cost drops to near-zero for published regulations
- Revenue models: Lisp Machine appliances, gate rule subscriptions,
  evaluation harness certification, skill marketplace
- Impact on AI/GPU industry: token demand compression, GPU inference
  plateau, hyperscaler competition shifts to gate rule libraries
- Transition dynamics: sufficiency within months for codified domains
2026-05-21 17:12:17 +00:00
Hermes
3b07a232cf add cloudflare infrastructure setup guide for tunnels, domains, and token rotation 2026-05-11 18:36:36 +00:00
0821b2b10a add: methodology conventions 2026-05-11 08:29:27 -04:00
Hermes
f4dce52f46 fix: allow .md in methodology/ to be tracked 2026-05-11 12:28:58 +00:00
Hermes
f5831399cb add: methodology directory 2026-05-11 12:24:26 +00:00
root
5dd38db935 init: brain directory structure 2026-05-11 02:02:01 +00:00