Files
hermes-brain/ideas/time-estimates.org
Hermes 3e32ea9959 Promote entire passepartout-economics/ to ideas/ root
All 31 files from ideas/passepartout-economics/ promoted to ideas/ root.
- Subfolder's passepartout-economics.org (42-line index) renamed to
  triad-index.org to avoid collision with root-level full doc
- index.org removed (redundant — triad-index.org replaces it)
- Root-level passepartout-economics.org: stripped file:passepartout-economics/
  prefix from all cross-references (now simple file:foo.org links)
- compliance-framework-mapping.org: same prefix cleanup
- All internal file: links within the economics docs already used simple
  names (no prefix) — they resolve correctly from ideas/ root
2026-05-23 06:09:08 +00:00

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Development Velocity and Timeline Estimates

At the observed velocity (v0.4.0 to v0.7.2 in a single session), the agent writes code and the symbolic engine verifies it at a cycle measured in minutes. The bottleneck is not coding speed — it is LLM API latency, ACL2 verification time, and human review of the 5% of edge cases Screamer flags.

To v1.0.0 (neurosymbolic maturity, ~4,500 lines): ~80 cycles, 3-5 weeks, ~2-3 hours of human review.

To self-driving Lisp Machine (Logos + Stoa hardware, +~6,000 lines): ~60 cycles, 2-4 weeks. The microcode must be loaded onto physical hardware and benchmarked, adding seconds per cycle.

Full Stoa (editor, browser, shell, Qt integration, ~3,500 lines): ~30 cycles, 2-3 weeks.

Total from today to full Logos + Stoa + Agora triad: 3-6 months. Most of that time is spent on design decisions and protocol specification, not on code.

The system writes the code. The human makes architectural decisions and reviews the 5% ambiguous rules. This timeline assumes a rapid sufficiency flip for each domain. See Investment thesis for the business case that justifies this approach.