Files
hermes-brain/ideas/passepartout-economics/moats.org
Hermes 9b2be10c77 Restructure economics doc into 27 org-roam interlinked nodes
Replace monolithic passepartout-economics.org with directory of
org-roam style nodes, each with :ID: property and cross-references
using [[id:uuid][title]] format.

27 nodes organized by theme:
- Core: index, triad overview, agora, stoa
- Revenue: verification appliance, domain gate packages, evaluation
  harness, skill marketplace, agora usernames, PDS service, compute marketplace
- Strategy: investment thesis, moats, licensing, patents, AI industry impact
- Analysis: lisp economics, sufficiency flip, time estimates, cost structure,
  gate rule encoding, upgrade lifecycle, biology parallels, symbolics comparison
- Big money: verification monopoly, infrastructure lock-in

Old file kept as archive with redirect links to new structure.
2026-05-21 19:36:02 +00:00

20 lines
1.9 KiB
Org Mode

:PROPERTIES:
:ID: aa6d062e-a520-5d14-8773-00687ed9c689
:END:
#+title: Competitive Moats
#+filetags: :passepartout:economics:moats:competition:
Re-evaluated: time is not the primary moat. A Phase 4+ Passepartout fed on Wikipedia + Wikidata can build a general ontology in two weeks. The organic growth advantage collapses for general knowledge.
**Actual moats (weaker than initially assumed):**
1. **Domain-specific gate rules** — thin. A few hundred lines of Lisp data. Write once, trivial to copy. Not a real moat.
2. **Empirical decision history** — every HITL decision is a Merkle fact. A fresh instance has none. Makes *your* instance more valuable but doesn't prevent competition — it's a switching cost, not a barrier to entry.
3. **Evaluation harness (regression suite)** — thousands of test cases accumulated from every bug fix. Cannot be ingested from public data. Strongest residual moat.
4. **Infrastructure integration** — specific Docker compose layouts, Traefik patterns, Authentik configs encoded as gate rules. A competitor's infrastructure is different.
**Strongest competitor strategy:** Not copying your gate rules — offering the same architecture as a service with their own pre-seeded general knowledge and a consulting engagement to customize gate rules. The AGPL prevents closing the architecture but does not prevent offering it as a service with a customization layer.
**The defensible business is services, not product.** The defensible entity is "the organization that best understands how to adapt Passepartout to your domain" — not "the organization that owns Passepartout."
See also: [[id:2f783eb4-638e-5afa-9b59-6224d086a712][Infrastructure lock-in]], [[id:827bc546-e887-5b7c-9b65-6392beaf0920][Verification monopoly]], [[id:45258a2d-1675-562c-9024-5d1eb2f1ea56][Evaluation harness]], [[id:caaeee11-ba6f-5566-aecd-f171b4c459c0][Patent strategy]], [[id:67faf52f-9126-50a7-b87e-2bedc610dac7][Licensing]]