cc3976fb7f
- Split competitive-analysis-2026-05.org → TOC + 9 competitor files in ideas/competitors/. Dropped date from filename. All competitor UUIDs generated, TOC keeps original UUID for backlink continuity. - Deleted passepartout-economics.org archive (replaced by 27-node KB). - Inlined 5 'See also' blocks into natural prose (compliance-index, first-mover-window, revenue-table, orders-of-magnitude-time, native-org-knowledge-base). - Linked 7 orphan compliance pages back to compliance index + finished truncated sentences. - Linked all 14 Agora requirement docs from topic-relevant pages (identity→lisp-machine-security, infrastructure→compute-marketplace, social-space→growth-strategy, exchange→agora-contracts, etc.). - Linked ai-industry-impact from investment-thesis, sufficiency-flip, verification-appliance, effects-growth-flywheel (up from 1 to 10+ pages). - Fixed CREATED timestamps to use git commit dates instead of today. - Made all links absolute from root (no port inheritance). - Removed stale agora/docs/ duplicate content.
19 lines
1.5 KiB
Org Mode
19 lines
1.5 KiB
Org Mode
:PROPERTIES:
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:CREATED: [2026-05-24 Sun]
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:ID: 45258a2d-1675-562c-9024-5d1eb2f1ea56
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:END:
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#+title: Evaluation Harness as Certification Service
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#+filetags: :passepartout:revenue:certification:evaluation:regression:
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The accumulated regression suite — thousands of edge cases from every deployed instance, every bug fix, every regulatory change — becomes the most comprehensive test of autonomous agent correctness.
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**Service:** "Run our 10,000-task suite against your AI agent and get a Merkle-verified score."
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**Target:** AI labs proving their agents' capabilities, enterprise procurement requiring independent verification.
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**Price:** $50K-$200K per certification.
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The regression suite grows with every deployment, making the certification increasingly valuable over time. The early player's suite is the largest because they started first. This is the [[id:a5d59d12-b23e-58d6-a81b-9b8b06556949][collective regression suite]] mechanism in action.
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10 certifications in year one = $500K-$2M.
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Long-term endpoint: this becomes the UL certification for AI — a third-party verification nobody can ignore. [[id:827bc546-e887-5b7c-9b65-6392beaf0920][The verification monopoly]]. The certification relies on a [[id:84a537b4-4256-50c8-91f5-dd5b4538418f][verification appliance]] to run the tests in a trusted environment, creating [[id:2f783eb4-638e-5afa-9b59-6224d086a712][infrastructure lock-in]] as certification history accumulates on the platform. These dynamics form powerful [[id:aa6d062e-a520-5d14-8773-00687ed9c689][moats]].
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