cc3976fb7f
- Split competitive-analysis-2026-05.org → TOC + 9 competitor files in ideas/competitors/. Dropped date from filename. All competitor UUIDs generated, TOC keeps original UUID for backlink continuity. - Deleted passepartout-economics.org archive (replaced by 27-node KB). - Inlined 5 'See also' blocks into natural prose (compliance-index, first-mover-window, revenue-table, orders-of-magnitude-time, native-org-knowledge-base). - Linked 7 orphan compliance pages back to compliance index + finished truncated sentences. - Linked all 14 Agora requirement docs from topic-relevant pages (identity→lisp-machine-security, infrastructure→compute-marketplace, social-space→growth-strategy, exchange→agora-contracts, etc.). - Linked ai-industry-impact from investment-thesis, sufficiency-flip, verification-appliance, effects-growth-flywheel (up from 1 to 10+ pages). - Fixed CREATED timestamps to use git commit dates instead of today. - Made all links absolute from root (no port inheritance). - Removed stale agora/docs/ duplicate content.
45 lines
2.6 KiB
Org Mode
45 lines
2.6 KiB
Org Mode
---
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title: Stoa Vision Roadmap — The Porch
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type: reference
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tags: :reference:architecture:stoa:
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created: 2026-05-24
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---
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→ [[id:4a1f23b0-abc1-4def-9876-543210abcdef][Stage 0 — Now]]
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Stoa (Στοά) is the body/environment layer of the [[id:d71df46b-9012-433c-86ce-ec21b78eac5f][triad]]:
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| Logos | The mind — recorded discourse (memex + agent) |
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| Stoa | The porch — editor, browser, shell, infrastructure |
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| [[id:1d074690-a279-59cb-b91d-e9a22ae104ad][Agora]] | The society — identity, communication, contracts |
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The name comes from the Stoa Poikile (Painted Porch) in ancient Athens,
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where Zeno taught Stoic philosophy. The porch was not the philosophy
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itself — it was the environment that made discourse possible. Stoa is
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the same: not the agent, not the network, but the infrastructure that
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hosts both.
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The roadmap and threat model are merged into a single document.
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Each stage covers: what is added, what threats are eliminated, what it
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costs, what it enables, when it is viable, and what it means in practice.
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Appendices at the end cover common sense, the bootstrap axiom, and a
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summary table of eliminated threats.
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| Stage | Delivers | Key cost | Timeline |
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|-------+----------+----------+----------|
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| [[id:4a1f23b0-abc1-4def-9876-543210abcdef][0 — Now]] | Baseline: conventional computing | Patching treadmill, no deductive guarantees | Today |
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| [[id:4a1f23b0-abc2-4def-9876-543210abcdef][1 — Agora]] | Communication integrity, provable DAG | Crypto overhead, key management | Today |
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| [[id:4a1f23b0-abc3-4def-9876-543210abcdef][2 — Logos]] | Verified gate, capability auth | Policy formalization burden | Today (limited) |
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| [[id:4a1f23b0-abc4-4def-9876-543210abcdef][3 — Stoa]] | Lisp machine, Merkle memory, no kernel | Lisp tax, no backward compat, single address space | 2-5yr (soft) / 5-10yr (ASIC) |
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| [[id:4a1f23b0-abc5-4def-9876-543210abcdef][4 — Inference]] | In-process LLM, token interception | ~10x compute/RAM/storage | Server now; consumer 3-5yr |
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| [[id:4a1f23b0-abc6-4def-9876-543210abcdef][5 — Weights]] | Plist-native weights, weight-level provenance | ~100x GPU / ~2-5x ASIC | GPU hybrid now; ASIC 5-10yr |
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| [[id:4a1f23b0-abc7-4def-9876-543210abcdef][6 — Training]] | Verified fine-tuning, neural world model | ~100x fine-tuning only | 3-5yr fine-tuning |
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| [[id:4a1f23b0-abc8-4def-9876-543210abcdef][7 — Remaining]] | Physical threats, oracles, speculation, bootstrap axiom | Mitigations are non-computational | Forever |
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→ [[id:4a1f23b0-abc1-4def-9876-543210abcdef][Stage 0 — Now]]
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:PROPERTIES:
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:CREATED: [2026-05-24 Sun]
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:ID: 3f24ad65-0845-4e75-a3d7-dc4de734a6ac
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:END:
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