3f38e87f4f
All version numbers stripped from roadmap across all brain documents: - passepartout-economics.org: v0.x.x version table → phase-name-only table, v1.0.0 → 'neurosymbolic maturity', versioned text references → capability descriptions. Retained phase names (Phase 0-7) and line estimates as they describe capabilities, not version milestones. - competitive-analysis-2026-05.org: version references removed - time-estimates.org: v0.4.0 → 'initial state', v1.0.0 → 'neurosymbolic maturity' - native-org-knowledge-base.org: v0.8.0-v0.9.0 → capability-based target
18 lines
1.4 KiB
Org Mode
18 lines
1.4 KiB
Org Mode
:PROPERTIES:
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:ID: dc2e4f22-1c4c-5d4a-a151-f96e5d3b0d70
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:END:
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#+title: Development Velocity and Timeline Estimates
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#+filetags: :passepartout:economics:development:timeline:velocity:
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At the observed velocity (initial TUI through to production readiness in a single session), the agent writes code and the symbolic engine verifies it at a cycle measured in minutes. The bottleneck is not coding speed — it is LLM API latency, ACL2 verification time, and human review of the 5% of edge cases Screamer flags.
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**To neurosymbolic maturity (~4,500 lines):** ~80 cycles, 3-5 weeks, ~2-3 hours of human review.
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**To [[file:self-driving-lisp-machine.org][self-driving Lisp Machine]] (Logos + Stoa hardware, +~6,000 lines):** ~60 cycles, 2-4 weeks. The microcode must be loaded onto physical hardware and benchmarked, adding seconds per cycle.
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**Full Stoa (editor, browser, shell, Qt integration, ~3,500 lines):** ~30 cycles, 2-3 weeks.
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**Total from today to full Logos + Stoa + Agora triad:** 3-6 months. Most of that time is spent on design decisions and protocol specification, not on code.
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The system writes the code. The human makes architectural decisions and reviews the 5% ambiguous rules. This timeline assumes a rapid [[file:sufficiency-flip.org][sufficiency flip]] for each domain. See [[file:investment-thesis.org][Investment thesis]] for the business case that justifies this approach.
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