78 lines
2.8 KiB
Org Mode
78 lines
2.8 KiB
Org Mode
:PROPERTIES:
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:ID: 3efb3085-a2d8-42d0-b676-f9262755a60c
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:END:
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#+title: 2016-08-11
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* Academic Writing :academia:CSLA:
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:PROPERTIES:
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:CREATED: [2016-08-11 06:48:36+0100]
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:MODIFIED: [2016-08-11 08:23:15+0100]
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:IMPORTED: [2023-02-08 19:22:45-0500]
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:END:
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"You have to show on the page that you are aware why you are making the decisions you are making."
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There is not a huge difference between a proposal and introduction in an academic article.
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* Migration :academia:CSLA:
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:PROPERTIES:
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:CREATED: [2016-08-11 Thu 15:01]
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:MODIFIED: [2016-08-11 Thu 15:13]
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:IMPORTED: [2023-02-08 Wed 19:22]
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:END:
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Migration slowed down since 2010
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Climate change indicator.
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* Towards a theory of two-step push factors :academia:CSLA:
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:PROPERTIES:
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:CREATED: [2016-08-11 Thu 19:15]
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:MODIFIED: [2016-08-13 Sat 07:36]
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:IMPORTED: [2023-02-08 Wed 19:22]
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:END:
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Context: Emigration from tropic and sub-tropic regions South of the Mediterranean to Europe has been accelerating for decades. This accelerated emigration is often related to breakdown of social and political systems in countries of origin. A coinciding global change is accelerating desertification in tropic and sub-tropic areas, resulting in loss of arable soil (water and carbon sinks).
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Gap: No or weak connection has been made between emigration and desertification.
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Significance: Current policy tackling emigration disconnected from deeper causing factors is less likely to yield positive results.
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Thesis: There is a positive corelation between accelerating desertification (another angle is the common climate change CO2 emissions), and accelerated emigration from decertifying areas.
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Method/Framework: This will be done by comparing a primary desertification indicator (possibly International Panel on Climate Change indicators over two decades) with International Organisation of Migration data series over the same period.
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Plan
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Section 1: Review accelerated emigration attributed to political instability and economic problems
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Section 2: Define desertification, demonstrate its acceleration
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Section 3: Compare data and demonstrate corelation
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Limitations
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space:
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time: 2015-1995 give or take a few
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Risks
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it has been done before, and I am just ignorant
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it needs me more time than I have
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it is beyond my skill
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mapping emigration data (usually by state) to climate data (usually by eco-region)
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Potential Sources
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IOM data sets
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Possibly IPCC emissions data. Still needs to find useful desertification indicator
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The world now is a place where there is greater liberty of movement for capital and goods, and a lesser liberty of movement for information and people. An increasingly near future where the combined effect of climate change and end of cheap energy mean the reverse: reduced movement of goods for the benefit of information, and reduced movement of capital for the benefit of people.
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