3577 lines
113 KiB
Org Mode
3577 lines
113 KiB
Org Mode
:PROPERTIES:
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:ID: 762ba5a1-b4c2-4c39-8ada-4a045b879079
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:CREATED: [2003-10-07]
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:MODIFIED: 2015-09-17T03:00:34.033796Z
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:IMPORTED: 2023-02-08 19:22:46 -0500
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:END:
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#+title: The Motley Fool
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00 What Does It Take To Invest Like a Fool?
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You may not yet realize it, but right now you're staring at a ticket to financial independence. That's right, this brief primer might make a big difference in your life, enabling you to retire in your 50s (or 40s, even), send your grandchildren to college, buy that summer place on Lake Whatchamacallit, or fly around the world in a zeppelin emblazoned with your high school nickname. (Hey, "Hot Lips" -- can you hear the violins playing as you float over a herd of wildebeest charging across Ngorongoro Crater?)
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You've probably heard of The Motley Fool. But you may not yet know what we're all about and what we can offer you. Let's take care of that first.
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Fool co-founders David Gardner, Tom Gardner, and Erik Rydholm came up with a mission and cranked out the first issue of The Motley Fool printed newsletter in July 1993. The Fool debuted online a year later, on August 4, 1994. Their mission was, has been, and will always be to help you to invest for yourself and gain control of your personal finances. We want to help you make smart decisions about your money.
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We strive to educate, amuse, and enrich -- all at the same time. We know that most people have never been taught much about finance or investing, and that a glance through The Wall Street Journal or a mutual fund prospectus can be rather intimidating or confusing sometimes. That's how they like it. But you know better (or at least you're going to in just a moment). Learning about financial topics doesn't require a Ph.D., and making good financial decisions doesn't require high-priced helpers.
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Tending to your finances isn't as mysterious and complex as you've been led to believe. The professional Wise men on Wall Street, however, would like you to keep thinking it's too difficult for you to do yourself. That way you'll entrust your hard-earned dollars to them, so that they can generate fat commissions for themselves.
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Sure, there are some good brokers out there worth the money they charge. But know that most financial advisors aren't paid by how well they manage your investments, but by how often they get you to trade in and out of stocks. Their main job isn't money management. It's sales. And what do you get in return? Sub-par performance and lower returns.
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Give us a little time and we'll show you how you can beat Wall Street at its own game. You read that right. Your portfolio shouldn't have much trouble trouncing 75%-90% of professionally managed mutual funds over time.
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And now for a hot stock tip....
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Just kidding! We don't believe in hot stock tips gleaned from others.
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We think the person who most has your financial best interests at heart is you. That's right, you're the one who should be making the decisions affecting your monetary future. And you don't need an MBA or a pair of suspenders or a pricey summer home in the Hamptons. You don't even need a stranger's hot stock tip. (FYI: Most of those were cold long before they got to you.) Believe it or not, some fifth-grade math and a dash of horse sense is pretty much all you need to get better returns than most professional money managers.
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Once you have a little knowledge under your belt, we suspect you'll find that managing your own money can actually be fun -- you might even want to delve into the world of picking stocks for yourself. The
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Motley Fool has tools to help you along the way: books <http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=81>, research <http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=91>, online seminars <http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=94>,
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discussion boards <http://boards.fool.com/>, Fool's School <http://www.fool.com/school.htm>, TMF Money Advisor <http://www.fool.com/landing/ma/landing.htm>, and even jester caps <http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Product_View.asp?PRODUCT_ID=ALL501>.
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(What -- you weren't planning to get your finances in ship-shape without a velveteen jester cap, were you?)
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Start with this modest primer. In it we lay out a systematic approach to investing that should benefit novice and seasoned investors alike.
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We first focus on getting your financial house in order, then move into a discussion of various investment options, and later address more advanced investing topics.
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No material presented here should frighten or intimidate you (unless you happen to be frightened by semicolons or puns involving llamas).
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You don't need any fancy credentials in order to understand anything in here, but that doesn't mean you should jump immediately into the stock market with all your dollars. Ease into investing. Take it one step at a time.
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For example, you might want to first move your mutual fund money into an S&P 500 index fund (we'll explain why shortly) and then take a breather while you read and learn more. You may never move beyond that point, but you still would have made a dynamite financial decision.
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Don't take any action until you're comfortable with what you're doing, though.
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Without further ado, let's part the curtains and unveil the Foolish approach to investing.
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Creak, creak, creak.
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(The sound of curtains being drawn open.)
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(Oohs and ahhs from the audience.)
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(Someone in row 17 coughs.)
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(Someone in row 12 shushes the lady in row 15 unwrapping her butterscotch.)
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** 01 What is Foolishness?
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Date: 10/7/2003
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Keywords: Motley Fool
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Let's start out with what you may be most confused about right now. If you're a newcomer, you might be wondering just what the heck all this "Fool" stuff is, and why you should spend any time here. You were looking for investment or personal finance information (right?), and now you're suddenly staring a court jester directly in the eye.
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Who are these guys?
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What is this?
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To make a long story short, The Motley Fool name comes directly from the beginning of Act II, scene vii
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<http://www.classicreader.com/read.php/sid.5/bookid.151/sec.11/> of
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Shakespeare's As You Like It. In the days when Shakespeare was writing about kings, Fools were the happy fellows who were paid to entertain the king and queen with self-effacing humor that instructed as it amused. Fools were, in fact, the only members of their societies who could tell the truth to the king or queen without having their heads rather unpleasantly removed from their shoulders.
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In Fooldom, you the reader are the king, and it's our job to tell you the truth about investing and show you how you can manage your own money better than the pros on Wall Street. The mission of The Motley Fool was, is, and will always be to educate, to amuse, and to enrich. We're here to help you help yourself with all aspects of personal finance and investing. We don't manage anyone's money but our own, and we're not investment advisors. Again, our interest is solely in educating, amusing, and enriching. (We do have an interest in winning awards for producing the best financial information in the whole dang world, but that's pretty much a pride thing; there sure isn't any prize money that comes with those awards.)
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When you're plying your trade in the investment world, you normally wouldn't want to be caught dead being called a "Fool," right? We think quite the opposite, of course. We look around at the supposed Wisdom in the world today, the Conventional Wisdom, and wish to put an end to it, to reform it. In fact we're on a mission here -- a mission from Shakespeare.
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So what is some of the conventional wisdom so contrary to the Foolish point of view? We'll preview just a few slivers of it now -- suffice it to say that the subsequent 12 steps contain a touch more, and the rest of this website (as well as our other products and services <http://www.foolmart.com> also available to you) goes into Foolishness in much greater detail.
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Conventional wisdom #1: You should let "experts" who manage mutual funds manage your money for you.
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Foolish response: Yikes! Did you know that some three-quarters of all managed mutual funds underperform the stock market's average return?
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In other words, most people are paying Wise "professionals" to make them less money -- and these professionals are paid very, very well in the process! Mutual fund managers will try to persuade you that they have some special insight or crystal ball. Unfortunately, their impressive-sounding jargon is hogwash when compared to the actual performance of the market averages. If you're ever going to be invested in mutual funds, you needn't look beyond an index fund, which tracks the market's returns at a very low cost. (For more information, check out our Mutual Fund Center <http://www.fool.com/school/mutualfunds/mfsem/mf.htm>.)
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Conventional wisdom #2: Financial gurus do a good job of predicting the direction of the stock market.
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Foolish response: Nope. No one has ever demonstrated the ability to predict the stock market's future consistently and accurately. We are amazed and amused by all the people who still try to do it, and all the journalists who daily (or hourly!) quote them on the matter.
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Remain focused on the business performance of the stocks you own, and don't sweat where anyone's telling you the market's going. We've had 10 recessions since World War II, and we've emerged from every single one of 'em!
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Conventional wisdom #3: Trust the Wall Street brokerage firms. They're here to help you navigate the labyrinthine world of investing.
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Foolish response: Well, they spend hundreds of millions a year on TV commercials insisting that they can help us, but... ummm... don't count on it. First off, it's not in Wall Street's best interests to teach <http://www.fool.com/school.htm> you. As long as you're in the dark about investing, you'll have to give your money over to Wall Street to manage it for you. That way, Wall Street professionals can charge you (often via hidden fees) to manage your money. The entire industry is built on your not figuring out how to manage your money.
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And, happily, that's exactly what your fellow Fools are here to help you do.
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Further, most brokers are well trained in the subtle art of salesmanship and are paid based on how often you trade, not how well you do. (Click here <http://www.fool.com/features/1998/sp981209eyesonwise003.htm> for some of the bloodcurdling details.) That business model has created a massive conflict of interest, because the best way to invest is to buy great companies and hope to never have to sell them. This makes brokers sad. Not your problem.
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Don't get us wrong -- there are some noble financial pros out there (and we'll show you how to find them a bit later). But the Wise have prevailed in the money world for far too long. Now it's finally time that some Fools showed up and leveled the playing field. By "Fools," of course, we don't just mean ourselves -- we also mean the millions of Foolish readers who come in here every month looking to answer one another's Foolish questions on our discussion boards <http://boards.fool.com/>. (Give our acclaimed discussion board community a visit -- we offer a painless free trial, with no credit card info required, and you may find lots of invaluable info and perhaps even a few new friends there.)
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So let us forthwith make a caveat: If you have found a financial advisor or a mutual fund manager who has managed to beat the market averages for extended periods of time (five-plus years), net of fees and taxes, stick with 'em. Believe it or not, we Fools are not in the business of demonizing people, and there are noble, competent pros out there. If you find one, do not be ashamed to stick with him or her.
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But keep watching, and asking. A good advisor should not mind questions.
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But whether you work with an advisor <http://www.fool.com/fa/finadvice.htm> or go it alone, ask yourself these questions: What would it be like to know that you made the very best decision with every dollar you spent or saved? Can you imagine looking forward to balancing your budget or checking up on the returns in your brokerage account?
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Imagine no longer. What follows is a guide to help you make all the right decisions -- confidently -- about your money. Knowledge is power. Foolishness is knowledge.
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All that we humbly ask is that you use whatever you may learn here for the benefit of good rather than evil, and that if you chance upon some other Fool's question that you can help out with, that you give a thought to doing so.
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We believe that when you take control of your financial life, you're taking control of your destiny, and that you'll be rewarded for doing so. By the time you're done with our 13 Steps, you'll be well on your way to a lifetime of successful investing and extreme Foolishness.
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But before we get into all that investing stuff, first a word about your credit card sponsor....
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** 02 Settle Your Personal Finances
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Date: 10/7/2003
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Keywords: Motley Fool
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You have a few bucks set aside, you've just canceled your subscription
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to WiseMoney, you've stopped watching the "Cable News Wisdom Channel,"
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and you're thinking of starting to get a little bit Foolish with your
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dough. Maybe you've registered
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<http://www.fool.com/community/register/register.asp> at The Motley
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Fool website. In fact, you've even peeked ahead a few steps to read
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about choosing a broker <http://www.fool.com/dbc/dbc2.htm> to make
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your first purchase of stock...
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Hey! Whoa there!
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Not so fast, buddy -- what's your rush? We know you're on the
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information superhighway and all, but believe us, when it comes to
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investing money you've worked hard to earn, you want to obey all the
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speed limits. Your personal finances need to be in squeaky-clean order
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before you ever think of placing that exciting first stock trade. As
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you'll find Fools imploring again and again, do not ever rush. This
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second step is here to tell you to settle your personal finances.
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Erase credit card debt
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First stop... how thick is your billfold these days? Is it full of
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cash or credit cards? One of the critical keys to investing is only to
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use money that is free of other obligations. Thus, if you are carrying
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a revolving balance on your credit cards, it ain't free! (Neither are
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you, unfortunately.) Here's why: Many credit cards have an annual
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interest rate of 16%-21%.
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Let's say you have $5,000 to invest, but you also have $5,000 in
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credit card debt with an average annual interest rate of 18%. If you
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invest the $5,000 instead of using it to pay off the credit card, you
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will have to get an 18% return on your investment after taxes (or
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about 24% before taxes) just to break even.
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Credit card debt remains the single best answer we know to the
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question "Why can't I ever seem to get ahead?" As of this writing,
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there are more than a billion credit cards in circulation in the
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United States -- that's almost four cards for every American man,
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woman, and child. And nearly 70% of all credit card holders in the
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U.S. today carry a revolving card balance each month (i.e., they're
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just paying the minimum amount due
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<http://www.fool.com/ccc/debt/debt01.htm >).
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On a card with an annual interest rate of 18%, making minimum payments
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(2% of the balance or $10, whichever is greater) on just a $1,000
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balance is going to take you a little over 19 years to pay off. During
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which time you will pay close to $1,900 in interest on that $1,000!
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It's enough to want to get into the credit card issuing business,
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isn't it? When you're ready, you can think about investing in a
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company that does.
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As you now chart your path to becoming a more Foolish investor, we
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simply will not let you pass on to Step 3 until you stop letting the
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credit card companies feed on you. Find out the details on how to pay
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down your debt
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<http://www.fool.com/seminars/sp/index.htm?sid=0001&lid=000&pid=0000>,
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or discuss <http://boards.fool.com/messages.asp?id=1040004000000000>
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(free trial required) your credit card questions with other Fools.
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Whatever it takes, pay off that plastic.
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A plan for regular saving
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Next stop... how well are you regularly paying yourself? In other
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words, are you routinely setting aside an adequate established
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percentage of your paycheck every payday? Or do you only set aside
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money when there is something left over? Or worse, are you finding
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there is nothing left to pay yourself with?
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If you answered yes to either of the last two questions, you're simply
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not ready to pass "Go" yet. It's time to examine why you aren't paying
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-- or can't pay -- yourself. A Fool does not go investing with her
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lunch money, or next month's rent, or with money that should go toward
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paying off a credit card. As stated above, only invest money that is
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free of other obligations.
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Fools try to save around 10% of their annual incomes. For some, it'll
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be closer to 5%. Others might manage to put away 15%... for instance,
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those whose paychecks come in tractor trailers like the folks in the
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National Basketball Association. The important thing is to live below
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your means <http://boards.fool.com/messages.asp?id=1040018000000000>
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and establish a regular rhythm of savings
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<http://www.fool.com/savings/savings.htm?ref=13steps>.
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A plan for life's hiccups
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We'd be remiss if we glossed over the importance of having an
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emergency stash of cash at the ready for life's inevitable bumps. The
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law of life dictates that when the hot-water heater goes "BLAM," the
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chances of your teenager accidently driving into the garage door are
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quadrupled. A cushion of short-term savings -- three or six months'
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worth of living expenses -- can keep you from having to rely on
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high-interest plastic, or worse, ending up in bankruptcy court.
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We've devoted an entire area <http://www.fool.com/savings/savings.htm>
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on our site to helping you figure out how much
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<http://www.fool.com/savings/shortterm/02.htm> of a cash cushion you
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need, and the most suitable place
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<http://www.fool.com/savings/shortterm/03.htm> to keep it. (Hint: It's
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not in your mattress.) We treat short-term savings -- your emergency
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fund and any money that you might need to get your hands on in the
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next five years or sooner -- very differently from long-term
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investments.
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When your cash cushion is funded, it's time to move on to your
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long-term savings. If you already are routinely saving, are you
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exploiting all the possibilities you have to make that money grow
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tax-deferred -- i.e., through an IRA
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<http://www.fool.com/money/allaboutiras/allaboutiras.htm>, or SEP, or
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Keogh, or 401(k), or 403(b) <http://www.fool.com/money/401k/401k.htm>
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plan? Money in tax-deferred retirement plans
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<http://www.fool.com/retirement/retirement.htm> can grow exponentially
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compared to money in a regular investment account because you don't
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pay taxes on the money deposited or the earnings until you begin to
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withdraw it.
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Further, a number of employers now offer to match your 401(k) plan
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savings with additional monies kicked in to benefit you (read: free
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money!). Make certain you are plowing as much of your savings as
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possible into these highly Foolish vehicles. Remember: Pay yourself
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first, and you'll thank yourself later.
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Learn more about the rest of your personal finances
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Before you leap headlong into that dramatic first investment, you
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should at least give some additional thought to other aspects of your
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financial life, such as any investing for your kids
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<http://www.fool.com/money/investingforkids/investingforkids.htm>,
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getting insurance <http://www.fool.com/insurance/insurance.htm>,
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buying a home <http://www.fool.com/house/house.htm>, saving for
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college <http://www.fool.com/csc/csc.htm>, building an emergency fund
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<http://www.fool.com/savings/savings.htm>, and buying your wheels
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<http://www.fool.com/car/buyingacar.htm>. We cover it all in our
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Personal Finances <http://www.fool.com/pf.htm> area.
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Feeling social? Come on over to the various Managing Your Finances
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<http://boards.fool.com/boards.asp?id=1040001000000000> discussion
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boards and meet thousands of other readers who are there to share
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their experiences and answer one another's questions. Also, check out
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The Motley Fool Money Guide
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<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Product_View.asp?PRODUCT_ID=MF031_02&REF=EDPF13>,
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which answers 500 common questions about saving, spending, and
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investing.
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Get Foolish help sorting it all out
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Life has this way of squeezing important, big-dollar decisions into
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small time frames -- from getting off to a solid start early in your
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investing career to handling complex financial messes at critical
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moments. In times like these, it may be best to call in an honest and
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good financial pro.
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What?! Isn't that counter to what Foolishness stands for?
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Aha, that choice itself -- whether to call in the professional-support
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troops -- reflects your management decision. We Motley Fools have
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always maintained that you are the very best person to manage your
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money. Like any successful executive, though, there are times when you
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must seek out the best help you can get. A good financial pro may earn
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his fee many times over by helping you through sticky situations like:
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\B7 The death of a parent
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\B7 Marriage
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\B7 Divorce
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\B7 Complex financial products
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\B7 Buying and selling a house
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\B7 Saving for college
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\B7 Estate planning
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\B7 Retirement
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\B7 Handling employee stock options
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\B7 \B7 We've grown weary of the charlatans who sell
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investment products based on commission. It is in this spirit that we
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developed a Foolish service where subscribers can get independent,
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expert, affordable, and instructive financial advice on an as-needed
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basis. Because we couldn't think of a suitably clever name
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(nominations are accepted), we call the service TMF Money Advisor
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|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/ma/decide.htm?source=imasitlnk600198 >.
|
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TMF Money Advisor takes the best of what we do -- education -- and
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|
pairs it with the services of a long-standing firm of independent
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|
financial planners. The whole package includes our best online
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seminars and crash courses, access to a sophisticated online financial
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|
planning tool, and the one-on-one services of a team of financial
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|
advisors.
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As you develop your financial plan -- or when you encounter a
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|
particularly complicated or rushed money decision -- just pick up the
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phone and speak with one of the Ayco Answerline financial advisors.
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|
Yup. It's that easy. These guys (and gals) won't try to sell you
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expensive insurance products or recommend certain stocks to pad their
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commission -- because they don't earn any commissions. That's the
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beauty of independent, flat-fee advice.
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(Thus ends our TMF Money Advisor shameless plug. Sorry, we can't help
|
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|
ourselves. We think the service is the bee's knees.)
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It all boils down to this: When it comes to your money, get all the
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help you need from whatever source works best for you. Of course, it's
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important to know your team members and their allegiances and to weigh
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all advice accordingly. So we encourage you to become an educated
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consumer.
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With that thought fresh in our minds, let's move along and make you a
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Foolishly educated consumer.
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|
03 Set Expectations & Track Your Results
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|
Date: 10/7/2003
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Keywords: Motley Fool
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|
Most people in the U.S. know what place their local sports teams are
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in. We know what film won the last Academy Award. We know what
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Teletubbies and and Barney are (though we may wish we didn't). We know
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the latest about Jennifer Lopez, and we know that Michael Jackson
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lives in the aptly named "Neverland." We live in a society that pays a
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lot of attention to some pretty weird stuff, but one thing we don't
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seem to pay much attention to is how our investments are doing
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compared to the market's averages. Why is that?
|
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|
|
Because nobody ever taught us how, and because no one who is selling
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investment advice has had it in their best interest to show us how to
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account for our investment performance. If you think most money
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managers, mutual fund managers, and brokers want you to know how your
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investments are doing in relationship to the market, we've got a
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"limited edition" Tinky Winky doll we'd like to sell you for, oh, a
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couple of thousand bucks.
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Professional investors just don't want you to pay much attention to
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how they're doing. It gives them a lot of room for error. Fools
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propose that unless you're going to take the time to measure your
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results, you shouldn't put investment dollars into anything but an
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index fund -- a mutual fund that tracks the market, step for step.
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|
Don't buy stocks, bonds, gold bullion, heating oil futures, or
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(especially) managed mutual funds. If you can afford to put money away
|
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for five years, but don't have the time to keep tabs on how you're
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doing, buy an index fund and leave it at that. To help you with just
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what an index is, we've developed an Index Center
|
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<http://www.fool.com/school/indices/introduction.htm> that explains
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and compares the various indexes and shows how each is doing,
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year-to-date.
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We suspect, though, that many of you have more than an hour a year to
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devote to this, are interested, and wouldn't mind aiming to be better
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than average if it were possible. You should know that accounting for
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your savings <http://www.fool.com/savings/savings.htm?ref=13steps>,
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just like a business would, doesn't take much. Nor is it beyond your
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|
abilities to beat the stock market over time. One of today's great
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|
travesties is that most people don't consider their personal finances
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|
|
a business and don't think the market can be deciphered, let alone
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beaten.
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That's because not enough people have gotten Foolish yet.
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Let's start with some basic expectations... and again, this is for the
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money that you can afford to put away for five years (ideally more).
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Would it surprise you to hear that some three-quarters of the equity
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|
(i.e. stock) mutual funds that are thrown at us from brokerage houses,
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|
banks, and insurance agencies perform worse than average each year?
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|
At first, it's shocking to think that the achievements of paid
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|
professionals are so significantly shy of mediocre. But on second
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consideration, those numbers shouldn't come as any surprise at all.
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|
Managed mutual funds charge their investors average annual fees of
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1.5%, partly to "fund" their active and national marketing plans.
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That's 1.5% of the total assets in your account, not just the
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"earnings" (if there are any). And most fund managers have enough to
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do -- golf, tennis, cocktail parties, and foxhunting immediately come
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|
to mind -- without having to spend time pondering growth stocks,
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|
ever-changing allocation models, and their consistent, predictable,
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|
and enduring market underperformance.
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|
If that sounds harsh, it's meant to be. Bad and overpriced mutual
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|
funds deserve much poking, and since they don't provide much in the
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|
way of results, they should at least be recognized for their vast
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capacity to amuse. But we're here to do much more than that, we hope.
|
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|
Finding problems in the financial "services" industry isn't much of a
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|
challenge. It's tacking on useful solutions that makes things
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difficult.
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Here's our solution to baseline accountability: Any money that you
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|
have to invest for five years or longer should not underperform the
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|
market over that five-year period. If it does, you've blundered,
|
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|
|
because you can get average market performance out of an index fund
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|
without doing any research and without taking on significant risk. The
|
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Motley Fool's free portfolio tracking system
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<http://portfolios.fool.com/custom/fool-com/portfolio/view.asp> lets
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you enter all of your investments and check their returns against the
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|
S&P 500, the major market index.
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Remember -- a 10% return one year might seem great, but if the overall
|
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|
market advanced by 13%, then you (or your managed mutual fund)
|
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|
actually underperformed. Conversely, you might be bummed to have lost
|
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|
an annual average of 4% over the past two years -- but if the overall
|
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market lost an annual average of 7%, then you've not done so poorly.
|
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|
Don't look at your portfolio's returns in a vacuum. (Or a Dustbuster.)
|
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Stick close to those expectations, prepare and aim to beat them, and
|
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|
know why you have or haven't. Set up your own My Fool
|
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|
<http://my.fool.com/> page, which can include your portfolio, links to
|
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|
your favorite Fool features, Fool free email subscriptions, and
|
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|
discussion boards. Browse through FoolMart <http://www.foolmart.com>,
|
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|
|
which offers our top-notch stock research newsletters
|
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|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=91>,
|
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|
|
How-to Guides, online seminars
|
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|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=49>,
|
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|
|
books <http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=82>
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|
and more. Laugh at the business pages of our national newspapers and
|
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|
|
magazines, which devote plenty of room to "professional" predictions
|
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|
|
but don't typically allow even a day each year for reviews of
|
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|
bottom-line performance -- including the deduction of all trading
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|
costs.
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|
But we've gotten ahead of ourselves. Here we've been yapping away
|
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|
about index funds without even explaining what they are. So, without
|
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|
further ado...
|
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|
|
04 Start with an Index Fund
|
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|
Date: 10/7/2003
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|
Keywords: Motley Fool
|
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|
Let's stop for a second for a brief review:
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|
1st Step <http://www.fool.com/school/13steps/stepone.htm>: You have a
|
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|
general idea of what it means to be a Foolish investor.
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|
2nd Step <http://www.fool.com/school/13steps/steptwo.htm>: You've
|
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|
|
gotten your personal finances in order -- paying down all credit card
|
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|
|
debt and establishing an emergency fund.
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|
3rd Step <http://www.fool.com/school/13steps/stepthree.htm>: You've
|
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|
|
set reasonable expectations, and you're going to track your
|
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|
|
investments against the market.
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|
What you have done thus far is prepare yourself emotionally,
|
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|
|
financially, and intellectually to be an investor. By so doing, you
|
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|
|
are already significantly ahead of the majority of all people
|
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|
|
participating in the stock market.
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|
But how can that be, you ask? Simple. A huge number of investors, be
|
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|
|
they young, old, new to the market, or old hands, have never bothered
|
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|
|
to give themselves or their financial status a checkup before jumping
|
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|
|
into investing. Some others did so, but then entrusted their money to
|
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|
|
professional management: mutual funds and expensive brokers. Chances
|
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|
|
are that these decisions will hinder their future financial standing.
|
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|
But you, on the other hand, are ready to jump in. So jump!
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|
What, you're still here? You say you don't know where to put your
|
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|
money? Good. Very good. You pass the test. You shouldn't expect to
|
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|
|
have all the answers yet.
|
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|
In this step, we are going to look at what, for many, is the beginning
|
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|
|
point for investing, and for many the end point. A significant number
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|
of individual investors have chosen to invest their money in index
|
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|
|
funds, and will never have to think about investing again. They just
|
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|
send in their checks, and they participate in the future growth of the
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|
domestic and worldwide economy.
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|
Let us emphasize this point. If you are comfortable investing in index
|
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|
funds and go no further, we applaud you. Our society seems to
|
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|
|
celebrate folks who take risks. Well, taking a financial risk that you
|
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|
|
are in no way prepared to take is nothing to be celebrated. Buying
|
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|
|
into an index fund and getting on with parts of your life you enjoy
|
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|
more ought to be celebrated.
|
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|
Index funds remain the lowest-cost, lowest-maintenance form of
|
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|
|
investing for an individual. Indexing is free from punitive management
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|
fees, and it is free from the concern that even shareholders of the
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|
most dynamic, stable, individual companies have about their
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|
investments from time to time.
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|
There are as many reasons to invest in index funds as there are
|
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|
|
investors. Some investors lack the time, interest, or confidence in
|
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|
|
their own ability to pick and track individual stocks. This in no way
|
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|
|
makes these people inferior investors. If anything, that
|
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|
|
self-awareness makes them superior, more Foolish investors, compared
|
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|
|
to many who are out there chasing the next "big thing." (A hint: 99%
|
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|
|
of the chasers are still chasing and will continue to chase.)
|
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|
Index fund investing allows people to take part in the expansion of
|
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|
|
the economy -- to participate in the stock market -- in a low-effort,
|
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|
|
lower-risk way. Those who get to this point and determine that their
|
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|
|
best choice is to index are to be saluted.
|
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|
Indexing also serves as a backstop for people who do choose to invest
|
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|
|
in individual companies. One particularly Foolish method is the Index
|
|
|
|
Plus a Few <http://www.fool.com/news/foth/2002/foth020827.htm>
|
|
|
|
strategy, in which the investor places the majority of his or her
|
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|
|
portfolio into an index fund, and then carefully selects a couple of
|
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|
stocks to augment overall performance.
|
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|
We'll now discuss the myriad index products that exist, beginning with
|
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|
|
the granddaddy of them all.
|
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|
The S&P 500 index fund
|
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|
|
From 1926 to 2002, the S&P 500, an index of 500 of the largest and
|
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|
|
most profitable companies in the U.S., has risen an average of 10.2%
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|
annually (with dividends reinvested).
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|
That means that, if you invested $10,000 into the S&P 500 some 76
|
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|
|
years ago, today your account would be worth more than $22 million.
|
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|
Sounds great, huh? But, most people who have invested in equity
|
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|
(remember, "equity" means "stock") mutual funds haven't pocketed that
|
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|
|
market average (or anything close to it) -- unless they have invested
|
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|
|
in an index fund.
|
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|
|
According to Princeton University's Burton Malkiel, the average
|
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|
|
actively managed mutual fund has returned 1.8% per year less than the
|
|
|
|
S&P 500. Interestingly, this 1.8% is not much higher than the average
|
|
|
|
expense ratio (read: annual fee) of these actively managed funds. That
|
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|
|
1.8% per year may not seem like a great deal, but it is, over time.
|
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|
|
That aforementioned $22 million would be worth less than $6 million
|
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|
|
given a return just 1.8% lower per year. Yowza.
|
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|
|
Further, this does not account for the fact that actively managed
|
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|
|
funds generally have higher "turnover" (the amount traded in or out by
|
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|
|
the manager in a given year), the capital gains taxes of which are
|
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|
|
passed on to the fund's shareholders on an annual basis. The lower the
|
|
|
|
turnover, the lower the annual tax bill. Index funds generally have
|
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|
|
turnover of less than 5% per annum. According to the Investment
|
|
|
|
Company Institute, the turnover for actively managed funds is more
|
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|
|
than 40%.
|
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|
|
If you are picking a mutual fund for your tax-deferred 401(k) or
|
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|
|
403(b) plans, or for an IRA, and if there is an index fund available
|
|
|
|
in your list of choices, the Foolish thing to do would be to make it
|
|
|
|
your only choice. If one is not available, never fear! We can help you
|
|
|
|
make the best choices with our Pick the Best Mutual Funds How-to Guide
|
|
|
|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Product_View.asp?PRODUCT_ID=MF2602_01>.
|
|
|
|
Learn to love Spiders
|
|
|
|
The most well-known index fund is the Vanguard S&P 500 index fund. But
|
|
|
|
there are many other choices for people who wish to purchase
|
|
|
|
index-tracking products on a real-time basis. Standard and Poor's
|
|
|
|
Depositary Receipts, or "SPDRs" (pronounced "Spiders"), are the most
|
|
|
|
well-known. These kinds of products are known as Exchange-Traded Funds
|
|
|
|
(ETFs). Spiders are purchased through a broker
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/dbc/dbc2.htm> (we'll learn all about this in Step
|
|
|
|
Six), just as if they were stocks. Spiders trade under the ticker
|
|
|
|
symbol SPY. Don't believe us? Go to the top of this page and type SPY
|
|
|
|
into the search box. You will get a current quote on how much Spiders
|
|
|
|
are trading for, per share.
|
|
|
|
Indexing beyond the S&P 500
|
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|
|
Are index funds just for the S&P 500? Oh, no. If you can name a
|
|
|
|
measurement of the market or a sector of the market, then somebody has
|
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|
|
probably slapped an index fund on top of it. Some indices include: the
|
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|
|
Russell 2000 (an index of 2,000 smaller-company stocks), the Wilshire
|
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|
|
5000 (the entire stock market -- in reality there are about 9,000
|
|
|
|
publicly traded companies, but the "Wilshire 8,934" just wouldn't
|
|
|
|
sound too good), and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (the 30 stocks
|
|
|
|
that make up the Dow). These are a few of the big ones that are
|
|
|
|
featured in our Index Center
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/school/indices/introduction.htm>.
|
|
|
|
The list of different indices that have mutual funds tracking them is
|
|
|
|
getting longer all the time. You can purchase these through fund
|
|
|
|
companies that offer index funds, or you can buy them as ETFs. Want to
|
|
|
|
buy the companies in the Nasdaq 100? They trade under the symbol QQQ.
|
|
|
|
How about something that tracks the major index for Malaysia? It
|
|
|
|
trades under EWM.
|
|
|
|
We like all of these products. Except for one thing...
|
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|
|
The spiraling number of index-based funds and products has added
|
|
|
|
complication to an area of investing that used to be simple. "Index
|
|
|
|
fund," until not that long ago, meant the Vanguard S&P 500 product
|
|
|
|
almost by default. We still believe that this individual fund, and its
|
|
|
|
cousin, the Spider, are the best long-term products for index
|
|
|
|
investors. But, to add some international exposure or some additional
|
|
|
|
technology exposure, there are other options. The best place to get a
|
|
|
|
current list of ETFs is the American Stock Exchange website
|
|
|
|
<http://www.amex.com/>.
|
|
|
|
Watch carefully what some companies are selling as "index funds."
|
|
|
|
Putting your money into a broad-market index fund should deliver great
|
|
|
|
results to the long-term shareholder, because index funds keep costs
|
|
|
|
so low. The Vanguard 500 index fund has annual costs of roughly 0.18%.
|
|
|
|
Full-price brokerage Morgan Stanley, on the other hand, runs an S&P
|
|
|
|
500 index fund (buying the exact same stocks as Vanguard's fund) with
|
|
|
|
annual costs of 1.5% -- nearly eight times as much!
|
|
|
|
A Fool reminds you that the only reason to move beyond the Vanguard
|
|
|
|
500 index fund, or another low-cost index fund, is if you believe you
|
|
|
|
can beat its performance after all of your investment costs have been
|
|
|
|
deducted: research reports, fax newsletters, financial newspapers,
|
|
|
|
business magazines, etc. If you can't beat the index, you'd better
|
|
|
|
just join it... and keep adding savings to it each year. In the
|
|
|
|
decades ahead, you (and your heirs) will be happy you did.
|
|
|
|
Some index funds will allow you to establish a regular account for an
|
|
|
|
initial investment of as little as $500 if you set up an automatic
|
|
|
|
investment plan, adding $50 a month thereafter. If you're looking to
|
|
|
|
get started investing with an even lower amount, make sure to read
|
|
|
|
Step Five: All About Drip Accounts
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/school/13steps/13steps05.htm>.
|
|
|
|
And finally, a word to the worried: If the few steps you've read so
|
|
|
|
far are already making your head spin, and you're fretting about how
|
|
|
|
you'll ever get your financial ducks in a row, stop fretting. By all
|
|
|
|
means keep reading, and don't expect to master all this at once. But
|
|
|
|
perhaps also consider checking out our TMF Money Advisor
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/ma/decide.htm?source=imasitlnk600198 >
|
|
|
|
service, which offers you independent and inexpensive financial
|
|
|
|
planning advice from professionals.
|
|
|
|
05 All About Dripp Accounts
|
|
|
|
Date: 10/7/2003
|
|
|
|
Keywords: Motley Fool
|
|
|
|
If you've read this far, you may be raring to invest in individual
|
|
|
|
stocks you've picked yourself. However, you might be worried about one
|
|
|
|
thing: whether you have enough money to start. This is a common
|
|
|
|
concern, and, sadly, we suspect that it's one of the main reasons why
|
|
|
|
many people never get around to investing in stocks. They figure that
|
|
|
|
it's just for the rich, or at least for those with more money.
|
|
|
|
But we're here to set the record straight. You don't need very much
|
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|
|
money on hand to get started investing. If you have even $20 or $30
|
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|
|
per month to invest in stocks, you can do so. You don't need to first
|
|
|
|
accumulate $3,000 or anything like that. Starting with $200 can be
|
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|
|
more than enough.
|
|
|
|
There are many ways to plunk your dollars into stocks. The most common
|
|
|
|
way is to buy all the shares of a company that you want to buy at one
|
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|
|
time. If you'd like to own 100 shares of Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO)
|
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|
<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=KO> and it's selling for
|
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|
|
$45 per share, you cough up $4,500 and buy the shares, paying your
|
|
|
|
broker what should be a modest commission of roughly $20 or less.
|
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|
|
Alternatively, you could enroll in Coke's "dividend reinvestment
|
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|
|
program" (often called a "Drip") and spend as little as $10 monthly on
|
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|
|
Coke shares, essentially buying fractions of shares at a time --
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|
|
without paying any brokerage commissions.
|
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|
|
"Drip" isn't a very appealing name, but it does get the point across.
|
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|
|
You're reinvesting the dividends you receive into additional shares or
|
|
|
|
fractions of shares of stock, but you're also "dripping" additional
|
|
|
|
money into your holdings -- every month, ideally. Drip... drip...
|
|
|
|
drip.... That adds up over time.
|
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|
Dividend reinvestment plans and direct stock purchase plans
|
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|
These two special types of programs permit investors to bypass brokers
|
|
|
|
(and broker commissions!) and buy stock directly from companies. The
|
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|
|
plans have been growing in popularity in recent years, with more than
|
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|
|
1,000 major corporations now offering them.
|
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|
With dividend reinvestment plans, the company usually requires that
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|
you already own at least one share of its stock before you enroll.
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|
Furthermore, the share must be in your name. This means that if you're
|
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|
|
not already a shareholder, you'll have to buy at least one share
|
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|
through a broker or a Drip service.
|
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|
|
If you use a broker <http://www.fool.com/dbc/dbc2.htm>, you'll need to
|
|
|
|
pay a commission on any initial purchase (more about choosing a broker
|
|
|
|
is in Step 6). In addition, you'll have to specify that you want the
|
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|
|
share(s) registered in your name, not "street name." Brokerages
|
|
|
|
routinely register shares in street name, meaning that when you buy
|
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|
|
stock through them, it's registered in their name. This is normally
|
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|
|
not a problem. It means that they hold the certificates for you and
|
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|
|
that makes it easier for you to sell quickly, without having to mail
|
|
|
|
in certificates. If you do own some shares of the stock, but they're
|
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|
|
held in street name, you can pay a few dollars to have one or more of
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|
them transferred to your name.
|
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|
Once you own a share or more in your own name, you can open a Drip
|
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|
|
account with the company and buy additional shares directly through
|
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|
|
the company (or its agent).
|
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|
|
Direct stock purchase plans (DSPs) operate in much the same way,
|
|
|
|
except they don't require you to own at least one share before
|
|
|
|
enrolling. That's right -- you can buy your very first share through
|
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|
|
the program.
|
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|
|
These Drips and DSPs vary a little from one to another. Some charge
|
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|
|
you a few pennies per share when you buy, most others (the ones we
|
|
|
|
like best) charge nothing. Some permit automatic regular purchases,
|
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|
|
taking money directly from your bank account.
|
|
|
|
While many of these plans are great bargains, others might not be
|
|
|
|
worth it, depending on your circumstances and their fees and policies.
|
|
|
|
You need to examine the particulars of each plan you're interested in
|
|
|
|
before deciding to enroll.
|
|
|
|
Advantages
|
|
|
|
Clearly, these programs are a blessing for those who don't have big
|
|
|
|
bundles of money to invest at a time.
|
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|
|
They're also wonderful in that they will reinvest any dividends sent
|
|
|
|
your way. This can be a really big deal. Many investors don't
|
|
|
|
appreciate the power of reinvested dividends. Let's look at an
|
|
|
|
example.
|
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|
|
If you'd held shares of Coca-Cola for the 18 years between 1981
|
|
|
|
through 1998, they would have appreciated a total of 4,718%. That's an
|
|
|
|
annualized gain of 24% per year. (Who said enormous global companies
|
|
|
|
are slow growers?) But wait, there's more! Here's the "secret formula"
|
|
|
|
for investing in Coke: If you'd reinvested all the dividends paid to
|
|
|
|
you into more shares of Coke, your total gain would have been 56%
|
|
|
|
higher, at 7,364%. Annualized, that's 27% per year.
|
|
|
|
A $5,000 investment in Coke in 1981 would have grown to about $240,000
|
|
|
|
without reinvested dividends. With dividends reinvested, it would have
|
|
|
|
become roughly $373,000. Impressive, eh?
|
|
|
|
Another advantage to these plans is that they permit you to slowly
|
|
|
|
build up positions in stocks over a long period of time. This might
|
|
|
|
not seem like such a big deal, but imagine that you really want to
|
|
|
|
invest in Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT)
|
|
|
|
<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=WMT>, but it seems very
|
|
|
|
overpriced right now. If you're a typical investor, not using Drips or
|
|
|
|
DSPs, you'll probably wait on the sidelines for the stock price to
|
|
|
|
fall a bit. If it never falls, you're out of luck.
|
|
|
|
But if you go with one of these programs and choose to invest small
|
|
|
|
amounts of money in Wal-Mart each month or every few months, you
|
|
|
|
establish a position in the company immediately and keep adding to it.
|
|
|
|
If the stock price falls, your regularly invested amount will buy you
|
|
|
|
more shares. (And you might even opt to send in more money than usual,
|
|
|
|
to buy more shares.) If it keeps rising, the shares you already bought
|
|
|
|
keep rising in value.
|
|
|
|
Another way to use Drips and DSPs is to buy all the shares of a
|
|
|
|
company that you want at one time through them. For example, imagine
|
|
|
|
that you want 100 shares of Citigroup (NYSE: C)
|
|
|
|
<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols= C> and it's trading
|
|
|
|
around $50 per share. You might spend $5,000 and buy the shares
|
|
|
|
through a regular brokerage <http://www.fool.com/dbc/dbc2.htm>, or you
|
|
|
|
might do so via a Drip or DSP. With the Drip or DSP, you can sign up
|
|
|
|
for dividend reinvestment and enjoy boosted returns over many years.
|
|
|
|
(Note that some brokerages now offer dividend reinvestment. See if
|
|
|
|
yours does, if you're interested.)
|
|
|
|
Disadvantages
|
|
|
|
Every silver lining has a cloud, and these plans are no exception. A
|
|
|
|
major drawback to them is the paperwork involved. If you invest small
|
|
|
|
sums regularly in a handful of companies, you'll be receiving
|
|
|
|
statements from each plan every time you invest. You'll need to keep
|
|
|
|
everything very organized and record all your transactions for tax
|
|
|
|
purposes. Taxes can get a little hairy when dealing with Drips and
|
|
|
|
DSPs if you haven't kept good records. Fortunately, there is good
|
|
|
|
software on the market that can ease some of the record-keeping
|
|
|
|
hassles.
|
|
|
|
Another disadvantage, although it's not a major one for most Fools,
|
|
|
|
relates to timing. Let's say you're convinced of the value of a stock
|
|
|
|
and are eager to buy. Using a broker, you simply make a phone call or
|
|
|
|
execute the trade online. Within minutes, you own some shares. But
|
|
|
|
with dividend reinvestment plans, you usually have to send in a form
|
|
|
|
and a check. This will take some time.
|
|
|
|
Also, many plans make all their purchases and sales only once a month,
|
|
|
|
delaying things further. So you might not get into the stock exactly
|
|
|
|
when you want, and you might end up paying a little more than you
|
|
|
|
wanted for it (though sometimes you'll end up paying less). Similarly,
|
|
|
|
when you want to sell a stock, it's not going to happen immediately.
|
|
|
|
It might take a few weeks. For someone who's regularly sending in
|
|
|
|
checks, perhaps every month, these delays don't matter. But be aware
|
|
|
|
of them.
|
|
|
|
More information
|
|
|
|
There's plenty more to learn about dividend reinvestment plans and
|
|
|
|
direct stock purchase plans. Start with our Fool's School section on
|
|
|
|
Drips <http://www.fool.com/school/drips.htm>, which explains direct
|
|
|
|
investing from A to Z.
|
|
|
|
The Fool's Drip expert Jeff Fischer demystifies the world of direct
|
|
|
|
investing in his book, Investing Without a Silver Spoon
|
|
|
|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Product_View.asp?PRODUCT_ID=MF017>,
|
|
|
|
which provides everything you need to know about getting started. The
|
|
|
|
book also gives details and contact information for more than 1,000
|
|
|
|
investment plans and a look at the industries and companies to
|
|
|
|
strongly consider for direct investing.
|
|
|
|
A mother lode of information can also be found at Netstockdirect.com
|
|
|
|
<http://www.netstockdirect.com/>. This site lists details on just
|
|
|
|
about every one of some 1,600 Drip and DSP programs. At Netstock you
|
|
|
|
can download plan enrollment information, and you can also begin to
|
|
|
|
invest directly online in 300 companies (and growing). Now that's
|
|
|
|
convenient!
|
|
|
|
The National Association of Investors Corp. (NAIC
|
|
|
|
<http://www.better-investing.org/>), the country's authority on
|
|
|
|
investment clubs, offers a Drip enrollment service, the "The Low Cost
|
|
|
|
Investment Plan." For just $7 plus the price of one share of stock in
|
|
|
|
any of the participating companies, you'll be enrolled and can then
|
|
|
|
add to your shares regularly at little or no additional charge. You do
|
|
|
|
need to be an NAIC member, however, and the annual fee is $39.
|
|
|
|
The Moneypaper website <http://www.moneypaper.com/> lists information
|
|
|
|
on more than 1,100 companies that offer Drips. The site also offers
|
|
|
|
the Temper of the Times enrollment service, which will purchase
|
|
|
|
initial shares and enroll investors in Drips for a nominal fee.
|
|
|
|
Direct Stock Purchase Plan Clearinghouse
|
|
|
|
<http://www.dripinvestor.com/clearinghouse/home.asp> is a free service
|
|
|
|
that allows investors to order up to five prospectuses from companies
|
|
|
|
that offer DSPs. (This is for direct stock purchase companies only,
|
|
|
|
not Drip-only companies.)
|
|
|
|
One last resource to consider is our stock research newsletter, Motley
|
|
|
|
Fool Income Investor
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/newsletters/incomeinvestor.htm?source=iiiedilnk925024>,
|
|
|
|
which focuses on investments that provide income, such as stocks with
|
|
|
|
hefty dividend yields. Many of these could serve as prime candidates
|
|
|
|
for Drip investing.
|
|
|
|
Now, on to our next stop on this Foolish journey... Step 6
|
|
|
|
<13steps06.htm>
|
|
|
|
06 Open a Brokerage Account
|
|
|
|
Date: 10/7/2003
|
|
|
|
Keywords: Motley Fool
|
|
|
|
Full-service brokers
|
|
|
|
"Full-service broker" is the name given to those expensively dressed
|
|
|
|
souls who work for Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER)
|
|
|
|
<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=MER>, Citigroup's (NYSE:
|
|
|
|
C) <http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=C> Smith Barney, Morgan
|
|
|
|
Stanley (NYSE: MWD) <http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=MWD>,
|
|
|
|
etc. The phrase "full-service" indicates that they are there to attend
|
|
|
|
to all the needs of their account holders. That includes generating
|
|
|
|
investment ideas for you, giving you stock quotes whenever you request
|
|
|
|
them, managing your account (in many cases), providing investment
|
|
|
|
research materials, helping you with tax information -- the works.
|
|
|
|
(But don't bother asking them to wash your car. We tried. It didn't
|
|
|
|
work.)
|
|
|
|
In return for these full services, the broker will charge you very
|
|
|
|
high rates to trade stocks in your account. Whereas discount brokers
|
|
|
|
(we'll get to them in a second) typically charge between $5 and $30
|
|
|
|
for an online trade, you'll generally pay around $150 for the average
|
|
|
|
trade done through the typical full-service broker. Furthermore,
|
|
|
|
full-service firms often charge annual "maintenance" fees through
|
|
|
|
which they grant themselves a generous slice of your assets, say about
|
|
|
|
$150 a year or more. In other words, they provide an expensive
|
|
|
|
"service." (Perhaps we should call them "full-price" brokers.)
|
|
|
|
OK, two problems here. (Actually, dozens of problems, but we'll keep
|
|
|
|
it to a brief two for now.)
|
|
|
|
The first is that most brokers (or, more snootily, "Financial
|
|
|
|
Consultants") who give advice are just glorified salesmen, shopping
|
|
|
|
around their brokerage house's stock picks or pricey mutual funds.
|
|
|
|
While there are some knowledgeable brokers who do a knockout job for
|
|
|
|
their clients, many aren't actually very good investors -- they often
|
|
|
|
lack impressive or even average performance histories.
|
|
|
|
The second problem is that full-service brokers usually receive
|
|
|
|
commissions on each trade, so their compensation is closely tied with
|
|
|
|
how often their clients' accounts are traded. The more trades you
|
|
|
|
make, the more money they make. Highly distressing.
|
|
|
|
The full-service industry will save itself only when it bases its
|
|
|
|
incentives on performance, not trading frequency. Your broker should
|
|
|
|
be working to give you the best consistent long-term, market-beating
|
|
|
|
return possible, and should receive bonuses based on a percentage of
|
|
|
|
your long-term profits.
|
|
|
|
Discount brokers
|
|
|
|
Discount brokers provide a more affordable means for investors to
|
|
|
|
execute their trades. They're for do-it-yourself investors. The idea
|
|
|
|
of paying exorbitant fees to some full-price broker for sub-par
|
|
|
|
returns makes little sense. But just as you need to go out and select
|
|
|
|
tools and materials before you can begin to fix things around your
|
|
|
|
house, you need to learn a little before you go out and pick a
|
|
|
|
brokerage.
|
|
|
|
There are lots of discount brokers. We've set up a Broker Center
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/dbc/dbc2.htm> to help in your selection process.
|
|
|
|
In it, we've included a comparison table
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/dbc/tables/compare.htm> to allow you to view our
|
|
|
|
sponsor brokerages, side by side. And you'll find answers to commonly
|
|
|
|
asked questions, such as:
|
|
|
|
· How do I open an account?
|
|
|
|
· What if I can only invest small amounts of money?
|
|
|
|
· Can I transfer my current account to a new firm?
|
|
|
|
· What's the difference between a cash account and a margin account?
|
|
|
|
· Can I buy mutual funds through a discount broker?
|
|
|
|
· Is online trading secure?
|
|
|
|
· · We also have a Discount Broker
|
|
|
|
<http://boards.fool.com/Messages.asp?bid=100146&source=istfoclnk100124>
|
|
|
|
discussion board, which features the Foolish community providing the
|
|
|
|
best answers anywhere on choosing the right brokerage. (You can learn
|
|
|
|
a lot by seeing what people are saying there. Give it a whirl -- we
|
|
|
|
offer a painless free trial for our acclaimed discussion boards.)
|
|
|
|
Here are 10 considerations as you begin your search:
|
|
|
|
Read the fine print. Look for hidden costs, such as account minimum
|
|
|
|
balances, fees for late payments or bounced checks, transaction fees,
|
|
|
|
and postage and handling fees.
|
|
|
|
Commission schedules can vary considerably within the same brokerage,
|
|
|
|
depending on the trade. If you most typically buy 1,000 shares of
|
|
|
|
stock below $10 a share, use this trade as a test of your prospective
|
|
|
|
brokers. See how much of a commission you'd pay for your typical trade
|
|
|
|
with each prospective brokerage.
|
|
|
|
If you want to trade foreign stocks or options or penny stocks, none
|
|
|
|
of which we generally counsel doing (well, foreign stocks are OK under
|
|
|
|
certain circumstances and options can make some sense for some
|
|
|
|
investors), make sure the brokerage is set up to trade them.
|
|
|
|
Check out the margin interest rate, if you plan on ever borrowing
|
|
|
|
money from your broker for purchases. Margin rates vary substantially
|
|
|
|
from broker to broker. If you're Foolish, you won't think about using
|
|
|
|
margin until you've been buying and selling your own stocks for a
|
|
|
|
couple of years. (For more on margin, see Step 12: Advanced Investing
|
|
|
|
Issues <http://www.fool.com/school/13steps/13steps12.htm>.)
|
|
|
|
The availability of checking accounts or bill paying may be very
|
|
|
|
attractive to some. Discount brokers are expanding their banking
|
|
|
|
services in an attempt to make the most from each customer. Do you
|
|
|
|
really still need a checking account from a separate bank? A lot of
|
|
|
|
Fools don't.
|
|
|
|
Mutual funds: You probably know already that we're not big fans of the
|
|
|
|
world of underperforming mutual funds, but, heck, maybe you disagree
|
|
|
|
with us. If so, and you're looking to buy mutual funds, learn which
|
|
|
|
funds are offered from any prospective discount brokers.
|
|
|
|
Research and investing tools: We have plenty of research
|
|
|
|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=91> and
|
|
|
|
investing tools
|
|
|
|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=49>
|
|
|
|
available right here at Fool.com, but one of the perks of a brokerage
|
|
|
|
account is (or should be) getting access to additional screening
|
|
|
|
tools, analyst research reports, stock charts, and more.
|
|
|
|
Money market sweeps: Does your prospective brokerage sweep any unused
|
|
|
|
funds into a money market account at the end of the day? Check into
|
|
|
|
it.
|
|
|
|
Touch-tone (phone) trading and/or a local office: If you want to place
|
|
|
|
a trade the old-fashioned way -- through automated touch-tone dialing
|
|
|
|
or by phoning a human broker -- see if that's offered. If you want a
|
|
|
|
real bricks-and-mortar office, find out if there's one near you.
|
|
|
|
Free perks are free perks. Some are even worth having. Whether you're
|
|
|
|
talking frequent flyer miles, free trades on your birthday, or even
|
|
|
|
cold, hard cash placed right into your account, there are some things
|
|
|
|
out there that could tip the balance in favor of choosing one
|
|
|
|
discounter over another.
|
|
|
|
Okay, now that your brokerage search is underway, let's shift gears a
|
|
|
|
bit and discuss retirement -- your retirement, that is, and how you
|
|
|
|
can best plan and invest for it.
|
|
|
|
07 Planning for Retirement
|
|
|
|
Date: 10/7/2003
|
|
|
|
Keywords: Motley Fool
|
|
|
|
You have your finances in order, maybe have a Drip or two, perhaps
|
|
|
|
contribute to your 401(k). You may also have opened a brokerage
|
|
|
|
account. Kudos!
|
|
|
|
But what is all this investing for, if not to be used and enjoyed at
|
|
|
|
some point? Close your eyes and envision yourself sunbathing on the
|
|
|
|
black-sand beaches of Wai'anapanapa on Maui, for instance. Or sipping
|
|
|
|
cappuccino in Carrara, where Michelangelo went to choose the stone out
|
|
|
|
of which he carved his David and his Pieta.
|
|
|
|
Sculpt thyself
|
|
|
|
Your retirement plans may now be a mass of shapeless stone weighing
|
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|
you down. What we propose to do here is to take out our modern-day
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|
hammers and chisels -- our calculators
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<http://www.fool.com/calcs/calculators.htm>, community
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<http://boards.fool.com/messages.asp?id=1040013000000000>, strategies
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<http://www.fool.com/strategies.htm>, and the "How to Plan the Perfect
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Retirement" How-to Guide
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<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Product_View.asp?PRODUCT_ID=MF2600_01>
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-- to mold something precise from that stone. You'll find these tools
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in our Retirement Area <http://www.fool.com/retirement.htm>. But
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before you pound the chisel for the first time (and hack off the femur
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by accident), you may be itching for a little guidance.
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The six steps
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To ensure a successful retirement -- whether you want to quit the
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workforce at 35 or 70 -- you must:
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· Think about what kind of lifestyle you want in retirement, and how
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much you're going to need per year to support it.
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· Figure out how much you'll need on the day of retirement in order to
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make sure you can draw the amount you need (see the "multiply by 25"
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rule below).
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· Take an educated guess at how long you'll be retired.
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· Decide where you will live, and whether to rent or buy.
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· Ensure you have adequate health, medical, and other insurance for
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the family.
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· Decide how to fill the hours in a day previously devoted to work.
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· · The "multiply by 25" rule
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There's a handy (though not entirely accurate) little formula,
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developed by mathematicians who are still stuck in a maze somewhere in
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Palo Alto, to help you figure out how much money you need to set aside
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now to meet a certain annual expense for a long time -- for eternity,
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in fact. First you figure out what your real rate of return (that is,
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adjusted for inflation) is on your savings. For example, assume your
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long-term overall annual rate of return on all investments will be 8%,
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and that at the same time inflation will run 4%. That gives you a real
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rate of return of 4% (8% minus 4%). You divide that 4% into 1.00,
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giving you 25. Multiply your annual expense in retirement by that
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number to arrive at the "lifetime expense" -- that's a very rough
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estimate of how much you'll need to have on your retirement date to
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cover those costs in the future.
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Another way of expressing it is to say that you need to put aside $25
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to fund each $1 of annual spending in your budget. If your total
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annual spending in retirement will be $50,000, the "multiply by 25"
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rule indicates that you need to save $1.25 million before giving up
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the paycheck.
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Though not perfect, this equation allows you to consider various
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scenarios. What if it were possible to cut your retirement spending to
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levels well below your current spending? If reducing your expenses
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allows you to get by on less income, you'll lower your tax burden as
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well. So taking the above assumption, if you were able to bring your
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annual spending in retirement down to $30,000, the "multiply by 25"
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rule indicates that you would need to put aside $750,000 before
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retirement, a considerably smaller sum. Of course, if you invest well,
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then you actually have to "put aside" much less and let investment
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returns make up the difference.
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Keep in mind that this calculation does NOT incorporate Social
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Security, pension benefits, money you may earn from work after
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retirement, marrying into a fabulously wealthy family, and so on. It
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assumes no other sources of income than your investments. This will
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(we hope) not be the case, but it's better to err on the conservative
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side -- to assume that we'll have less. Then, of course, if we have
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more than we planned on, we can live the high life (whatever that is).
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How long will you be retired?
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This has two parts: when you will retire, and how long you will live.
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You choose when you retire; there is no right answer. Select a date,
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or choose the age at which you want to retire. Whether it's 35 or 55
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or 69 or 88 -- it's your choice.
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Then, to get a genetically informed guesstimate as to how long you may
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live, take a look at your parents and grandparents. Who lived the
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longest among them? Take that age, add 10 years to it (you're eating
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your leafy greens, right?), and use that number.
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Subtract from that the age you'll be when you retire, and voila! You
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|
have a working number for how long you may be retired.
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Where you stand
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In order to arrive at a target amount on your date of retirement, you
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|
must determine your current financial status. If you use a software
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|
program such as Quicken or Microsoft Money, you'll find your work
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|
simplified. Essentially you need to tally up how much money is coming
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|
in right now, and also what you have in terms of assets. You're
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|
invested in the stock market, right? Since you know the date your
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retirement is to begin, our online calculators should help you project
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|
how much your portfolio will be worth at that time. You can then
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|
compare that with the amount you know you'll need on the Big Day, and
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|
see whether you need to invest more.
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We should mention, of course, the magic of compound interest. The
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|
longer you have for your investments to grow, the larger the growth
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will be. That's why there's no time like the present to begin. (And if
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|
you find some way to begin yesterday, go for it!)
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Act!
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|
Among the important weapons that may be in your arsenal, you should
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|
check into the following:
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|
· Employer-provided pensions
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|
|
</retirement/manageretirement/manageretirement2.htm>, otherwise known
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|
as defined benefit plans. These plans are dying off as employers
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|
switch to 401(k) plans or hybrid vehicles such as cash balance plans.
|
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|
· 401(k)s or 403(b)s </money/401k/401k.htm>. Your employer may match
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|
the contributions that you make to this plan, up to a certain amount
|
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|
-- and that means that you're getting free money. "Free money." Hmm...
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|
we like the sound of that. Couple the free money with tax-deferred
|
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|
|
compounding, and you've got a great tool for amassing a sizable stash
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|
by the time you retire.
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|
· IRAs <http://www.fool.com/ira/ira.htm>. If you're eligible, there's
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|
really no good reason why you shouldn't have one -- whether you choose
|
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|
a Roth IRA or a traditional IRA. Each of these provide great tax
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|
advantages, and the flexibility to be invested in the stock market all
|
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|
the while. The Roth IRA is appealing because, if you follow the rules,
|
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|
you can withdraw money you've contributed to it, as well as any
|
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|
earnings on the money, completely tax-free. You can contribute up to
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|
$3,000 per year to a regular or a Roth IRA.
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|
· · Periodically, you must evaluate your progress toward
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|
meeting your retirement needs (we recommend at least once a year), and
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|
then make revisions where required. After all, things change -- rates
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|
of return, unexpected expenses, and so forth. So be sure to stay on
|
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|
|
top of that changing scene by reviewing your retirement savings goals
|
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|
|
and investments annually. And as we pointed out in Step 2
|
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|
|
<13steps02.htm>, it doesn't hurt to get a second set of eyes reviewing
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|
your plan. If you're a TMF Money Advisor
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/ma/decide.htm?source=imasitlnk600198>
|
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|
|
subscriber, make a date with your planner to see if you're on track.
|
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|
Go ahead, we'll wait. (If you're not a subscriber, perhaps look into
|
|
|
|
whether our TMF Money Advisor service could help you, with the
|
|
|
|
individual, independent -- and inexpensive -- professional advice it
|
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|
|
offers.)
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|
The early bird and the can of worms
|
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|
Great, you're back. Achieving a successful early retirement is another
|
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|
|
matter. Planning for an early retirement is much more difficult than
|
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|
|
for a "normal" retirement. That's because some unusual hurdles will
|
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|
crop up, such as health and medical insurance. Medicare isn't
|
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|
|
available until age 65, many employers will not allow group plans to
|
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|
|
be carried into retirement beyond the 18 months required by law, and
|
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|
|
individual health policies may cost in the hundreds of dollars per
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|
|
month. For the early retiree, then, obtaining adequate health and
|
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|
|
medical coverage can put a huge dent in the family's income.
|
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|
Insurance is often the greatest deterrent to retirement prior to age
|
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|
65. For more guidance on insurance matters, visit our Insurance Center
|
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|
|
<http://www.fool.com/Insurancecenter/Insurancecenter.htm>.
|
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|
|
Invest well
|
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|
It should be clear by now that investing well is key to your having
|
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|
|
the resources you'll need on the day you retire. The greater your
|
|
|
|
returns over time, the more money you're going to have.
|
|
|
|
So how do you evaluate companies in which to invest? One important
|
|
|
|
step is discussed in the next step: Read financial info
|
|
|
|
<13steps08.htm>.
|
|
|
|
08 Get Financial Information
|
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|
|
Date: 10/7/2003
|
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|
|
Keywords: Motley Fool
|
|
|
|
Selecting stocks on your own, without the safety net of an index fund,
|
|
|
|
can be scary. But it can also be fun and very, very rewarding. You'll
|
|
|
|
need to learn what kinds of companies to seek out, and then you'll
|
|
|
|
have to evaluate them, to make sure they're moving in the right
|
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|
|
direction and are worthy of your trust.
|
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|
|
Gather information
|
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|
|
No right-minded Fool (and what other kind is there?) would think of
|
|
|
|
investing in a company based merely on cocktail-party chatter, a
|
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|
|
broker's recommendation, or even a discussion board overflowing with
|
|
|
|
exuberance. Even if the company is one you've discovered on your own,
|
|
|
|
you shouldn't just run out and buy shares of its stock. First, get
|
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|
|
your hands on the company's financial information, and get to know the
|
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|
|
situation thoroughly.
|
|
|
|
To start, call the company you're interested in, ask for the "investor
|
|
|
|
relations" department, and request an "investor information packet." A
|
|
|
|
full packet typically contains the following, all of which you want
|
|
|
|
and should ask for:
|
|
|
|
· The annual report (most recent)
|
|
|
|
· The 10-K (most recent)
|
|
|
|
· The 10-Q (most recent)
|
|
|
|
· Press releases (all recent ones)
|
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|
|
· Analysts' reports (any available up-to-date ones)
|
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|
|
· By the way -- are you wondering what all this is going to
|
|
|
|
cost you? Nothing more than a holiday bottle of wine for your postal
|
|
|
|
carrier who'll be delivering all the packets you order. These packets
|
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|
|
are free!
|
|
|
|
But hey, let's face it -- you're online. Nowadays, the Internet is the
|
|
|
|
place to do the best research. You can get a substantial amount of
|
|
|
|
information online. You can access all recent SEC filings, including
|
|
|
|
company 10-K's and 10-Q's, without ever leaving your keyboard. All you
|
|
|
|
need to know is a company's ticker symbol to acquire news, financial
|
|
|
|
snapshots, and estimates of future earnings <http://quote.fool.com/>.
|
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|
|
Whoops, maybe we're getting ahead of ourselves with that kind of talk.
|
|
|
|
Sorry. Keep reading and we'll explain.
|
|
|
|
[By the way, if the thought of finding and researching companies on
|
|
|
|
your own is stressing you out, consider some of our stock research
|
|
|
|
newsletters
|
|
|
|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=91>,
|
|
|
|
which offer you our stock analysts' best investment ideas -- they can
|
|
|
|
serve as excellent starting points for further research.]
|
|
|
|
Learn about the company
|
|
|
|
You've got the company's information packet. Let's have a look. The
|
|
|
|
first thing you'll want to do is scan everything in order to get a
|
|
|
|
sense of the company's mission, its products, its attitude, and its
|
|
|
|
prospects. There are three main financial statements included:
|
|
|
|
· The income statement
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/foolu/askfoolu/2003/askfoolu030402.htm>(or
|
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|
|
statement of operations)
|
|
|
|
· The balance sheet
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/school/valuation/howtoreadabalancesheet.htm>
|
|
|
|
· The statement of cash flows
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/portfolios/RuleMaker/1999/RuleMaker990823.htm>
|
|
|
|
· The easiest of the three to understand is the income
|
|
|
|
statement, which shows how much money the company made over the last
|
|
|
|
year and its profits. Next up is the balance sheet, revealing how much
|
|
|
|
cash, inventories, and debt the company has. The third and most
|
|
|
|
complex piece is the statement of cash flows, revealing how much money
|
|
|
|
the company is really making as it works through operations, makes
|
|
|
|
investments, and borrows money.
|
|
|
|
When studying a company's financial statements, you should be able to
|
|
|
|
determine how quickly sales are growing, how the company is financing
|
|
|
|
its growth, whether it has taken on too much debt, how efficiently
|
|
|
|
it's collecting its accounts receivable, how much profit it's making
|
|
|
|
on its products and services, and all kinds of fascinating
|
|
|
|
information.
|
|
|
|
You should also be paying attention to trends, to see if the firm's
|
|
|
|
financial health is improving or declining. And finally, it's best to
|
|
|
|
compare companies with their industry peers to see how they stack up.
|
|
|
|
These financial statements will also appear in the 10-Q and 10-K
|
|
|
|
reports. The 10-K is issued once a year, along with the annual report,
|
|
|
|
while 10-Qs are issued three times a year, at the end of the
|
|
|
|
intervening quarters.
|
|
|
|
The 10-Q summarizes the company's quarterly performance. The 10-K is
|
|
|
|
dedicated to a company's financials, not its story, and thus includes
|
|
|
|
information you simply won't find in most annual reports, like insider
|
|
|
|
stock holdings and brief biographies of the management team. The
|
|
|
|
latter is of extreme interest to a Fool. We love to read about how the
|
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|
|
company chairman filed for personal bankruptcy in 1989, or graduated
|
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|
|
from our college.
|
|
|
|
Press releases are an even more frequent source of information on your
|
|
|
|
company, and should be read and followed by hands-on investors. Those
|
|
|
|
who prefer to keep up less frequently with their stocks can usually
|
|
|
|
safely ignore press releases, and just catch the quarterly reports. Of
|
|
|
|
course, this works much better with safer, bigger companies. If you
|
|
|
|
own volatile small-cap growth stocks that move radically based on
|
|
|
|
every new piece of information, it behooves you to plug into these
|
|
|
|
things. Do keep in mind, of course, that press releases in general
|
|
|
|
tend to put a positive spin on news, since they're issued by the
|
|
|
|
company itself.
|
|
|
|
We Fools thrive on this stuff. For a more detailed tour of these
|
|
|
|
telling papers, check out our Crack the Code: Read Financial
|
|
|
|
Statements Like a Pro
|
|
|
|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Product_View.asp?PRODUCT_ID=MF2603_01>
|
|
|
|
How-to Guide-- it comes with a money-back guarantee, like most of our
|
|
|
|
offerings (at least those that aren't free).
|
|
|
|
Analyst reports
|
|
|
|
Most companies have been examined and analyzed by one or more
|
|
|
|
financial analysts. These professionals, most often employees of
|
|
|
|
brokerage houses, will write reports that include the analyst's
|
|
|
|
opinion of the stock, as well as estimates of future earnings and
|
|
|
|
other prognostications. One of these reports might be included in the
|
|
|
|
packet the company sent you. (If not, the company will provide you
|
|
|
|
with analyst names and phone numbers, so you can call and make your
|
|
|
|
own request.) Reading analyst reports can be a truly useful exercise.
|
|
|
|
For a Fool, some of the most valuable information in the report are
|
|
|
|
the estimated earnings per share figures. (The better reports print
|
|
|
|
estimates quarter-by-quarter.) By matching the analyst's quarterly
|
|
|
|
estimates against the quarterly earnings announcements as they come
|
|
|
|
out, investors can determine whether a business and its profits per
|
|
|
|
share are meeting, exceeding, or underperforming analysts'
|
|
|
|
expectations.
|
|
|
|
We at The Motley Fool love getting our hands on analyst reports,
|
|
|
|
recognizing that analysts know a fair amount about how to evaluate a
|
|
|
|
particular company's prospects for growth. Hey, it's their full-time
|
|
|
|
job. And, while we don't accept every assertion made by any analyst,
|
|
|
|
we think that confronting their analyses is a key ingredient to
|
|
|
|
sharpening our understanding of the story of our companies.
|
|
|
|
That's the good side to analysts' opinions. (Red Alert. Red Alert.
|
|
|
|
Fool attack coming. All Wise men of Wall Street prepare to be fired
|
|
|
|
upon.)
|
|
|
|
We do not advise you to pay attention to the analysts' ratings on
|
|
|
|
securities, whether "Strong Buy," "Buy," "Accumulate," "Attractive,"
|
|
|
|
"Speculative Hold," or whatever. These subjective judgments are very
|
|
|
|
much slanted according to a blatant and unapologetic conflict of
|
|
|
|
interest that exists in the brokerage industry. The same firms whose
|
|
|
|
analysis you're reading also have built their businesses on financing
|
|
|
|
the companies they're analyzing. Thus, you won't be surprised to hear
|
|
|
|
that the first buy recommendation issued on a company that just came
|
|
|
|
public virtually always comes from the very same firm or firms that
|
|
|
|
underwrote the initial public offering (hmmmm...). (Here's a
|
|
|
|
particularly egregious example of how out of control things can get
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/Specials/2002/02112000c.htm> with analysts.)
|
|
|
|
Further, and more importantly, if the brokerage firm analyst were ever
|
|
|
|
to put an outright "Sell" recommendation on a given company's stock,
|
|
|
|
that company would probably never do any financing business with the
|
|
|
|
analyst's firm. Thus, you'll almost never see a "Sell" recommendation
|
|
|
|
from Wall Street. Less than 1% of all analyst reports contain "Sell"
|
|
|
|
ratings. Wall Street analysts will virtually never be the first ones
|
|
|
|
to identify a serious problem with a company -- hey, it really isn't
|
|
|
|
their job to do that. Their job is to get you to buy stocks and trade
|
|
|
|
in and out of them, not lead you to long-term wealth.
|
|
|
|
Foolish Research Reports
|
|
|
|
In response to this situation, we at The Motley Fool are now providing
|
|
|
|
an alternative to the analyst reports of Wall Street. Through our
|
|
|
|
special research-laden newsletters, Tom Gardner's Motley Fool Hidden
|
|
|
|
Gems
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/research/decide_hg.htm?source=ihgsitlnk200208>,
|
|
|
|
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor
|
|
|
|
<http://investorplace.com/order/?pc=3DR103&r=d>, Motley Fool Income
|
|
|
|
Investor
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/newsletters/incomeinvestor.htm?source=iiiedilnk925024>,
|
|
|
|
and our year-end report called Stocks 200-whatever year we're in, the
|
|
|
|
Fool is producing research that is free of inside-the-Street code
|
|
|
|
words (such as "Hold," which really means "Sell Now"). If you're
|
|
|
|
interested in trying out some money-back-if-you're-not-satisfied
|
|
|
|
Foolish research, check out what we offer
|
|
|
|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=91>.
|
|
|
|
Misinformation
|
|
|
|
We'd be remiss if we didn't mention one thing you may encounter in
|
|
|
|
your quest for financial information -- and that is the "hot tip." The
|
|
|
|
hot tip has many guises. It can appear as investment "information" or
|
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|
|
a "can't-miss opportunity" or "the chance to invest in a company that
|
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|
|
will revolutionize the industry." The pitch can take place on the
|
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|
|
Internet, in print, on the phone, or at a party. It may even appear on
|
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|
|
a discussion board.
|
|
|
|
We have one rule of thumb for such so-called "information": Do your
|
|
|
|
own research and make your own independent investment decisions. Never
|
|
|
|
make an investment decision based on one of these hot tips. (For some
|
|
|
|
advice on spotting investment scams, we've put together a primer on
|
|
|
|
Securities Fraud: How to Avoid the Cons
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/specials/2000/sp000223fraud.htm>.)
|
|
|
|
Once you've gathered the information that you truly need, we'll show
|
|
|
|
you what to do with it.
|
|
|
|
09 Evaluating Businesses
|
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|
|
Date: 10/7/2003
|
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|
|
Keywords: Motley Fool
|
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|
|
Notice that the title of this step is "Evaluating Businesses," not
|
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|
|
"Evaluating Stocks." Though evaluating a stock is most often the way
|
|
|
|
that investment research is phrased, Fools know that when you buy a
|
|
|
|
share of stock you are really buying a piece of a business.
|
|
|
|
To figure out how much the stock is worth, therefore, you first need
|
|
|
|
to determine how much the whole business is worth. You can begin this
|
|
|
|
process by assessing the company's financials in terms of per-share
|
|
|
|
values to calculate how much the proportional share of the business is
|
|
|
|
worth. (For hands-on help, check out our Crack the Code: How to Read
|
|
|
|
Financial Statements Like a Pro
|
|
|
|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Product_View.asp?PRODUCT_ID=MF2603_01>
|
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|
|
How-to Guide.)
|
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|
|
If you own one share of Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT)
|
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|
|
<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=WMT> stock, you, along
|
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|
|
with members of founder Sam Walton's family and many other
|
|
|
|
shareholders, own the company. True, the Walton family owns more of it
|
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|
|
than you do. A lot more. But, your share still counts. When important
|
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|
decisions are to be made, the company will send you a ballot and
|
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|
|
solicit your vote. And, every time a shopper buys a snorkel, a stereo,
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|
|
or a set of towels at Wal-Mart, a tiny fraction of the profit that
|
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|
|
purchase generates is yours. A very, very tiny fraction. But, don't
|
|
|
|
let that get you down -- there are a lot of Wal-Mart shoppers.
|
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|
|
The fate of each share of stock is tied inextricably to the fortune of
|
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|
|
the underlying business, and the market's perception of the future
|
|
|
|
prospects for that business. A common mistake investors make is
|
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|
|
thinking of shares of stock merely as slips of paper that fluctuate in
|
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|
|
value, instead of as very real chunks of actual ongoing businesses.
|
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|
Don't make this mistake.
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|
|
It All Boils Down to Price and Quality
|
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|
|
As you learn more about how to study companies, you'll run across many
|
|
|
|
different measures and tools that investors use in their evaluation.
|
|
|
|
These tools might include P/E ratios
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/school/earningsbasedvaluations.htm>,
|
|
|
|
return-on-equity
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/school/returnonequity/returnonequitypartonedefinition.htm>,
|
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|
|
cash-flow valuations
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/school/cashflowbasedvaluations.htm>, and so on.
|
|
|
|
At first, all the valuation tools in your mind might end up in a big
|
|
|
|
clutter. You'd do well to try and sort them into two categories
|
|
|
|
eventually, though: price
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/school/securityanalysis02.htm> and quality
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/school/securityanalysis03.htm>. Here's why:
|
|
|
|
Bearing in mind that there are really only three kinds of people in
|
|
|
|
the world -- those who can count and those who can't -- there are
|
|
|
|
three main questions you need to answer before you decide whether to
|
|
|
|
invest in a company:
|
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|
|
Is this a strong and growing high-quality company?
|
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|
|
Is the company's stock priced attractively right now?
|
|
|
|
(We stole the above joke from Warren Buffett's 1998 annual letter to
|
|
|
|
his Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A, BRK.B)
|
|
|
|
<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=BRK.A, BRK.B>
|
|
|
|
shareholders. At some point, if you really want an education in
|
|
|
|
evaluating businesses, instead of going to business school, just read
|
|
|
|
Mr. Buffett's collection of annual letters
|
|
|
|
<http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html>.)
|
|
|
|
If you don't make a point of addressing these questions (however many
|
|
|
|
there were), you might end up buying grossly overvalued shares of a
|
|
|
|
wonderful company, or you might snap up shares of a business that's
|
|
|
|
about to be cut in half at what seems like a bargain price.
|
|
|
|
Quality
|
|
|
|
There are a number of ways that you can zero in on a company's
|
|
|
|
quality. Is it debt-free or up to its ears in interest payments? Does
|
|
|
|
the firm have a lot of cash? Is it generating a lot of cash and
|
|
|
|
spending that money efficiently? Are sales and earnings growing at an
|
|
|
|
admirable clip? Are gross, operating, and net profit margins growing,
|
|
|
|
as well? Is the management smart and executing well? Is the company
|
|
|
|
well-positioned to beat out competitors? Does the company have a brand
|
|
|
|
name that is widely known and admired?
|
|
|
|
These are just some of the many measures you can take when evaluating
|
|
|
|
a company's quality.
|
|
|
|
Price
|
|
|
|
When evaluating a company's price, you shouldn't be interested in how
|
|
|
|
many dollars one share costs -- you need to measure the per-share cost
|
|
|
|
of a stock against something. Investors typically take a number of
|
|
|
|
measures and compare them to the firm's earnings. The
|
|
|
|
price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, for example, compares a company's stock
|
|
|
|
price to its earnings per share. Some companies aren't properly valued
|
|
|
|
based on their earnings, though (because there may not be any), and
|
|
|
|
often the price-to-sales
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/school/revenuebasedvaluations.htm> ratio is used.
|
|
|
|
Another earnings-based ratio is the PEG, which compares the P/E ratio
|
|
|
|
to the company's earnings growth rate.
|
|
|
|
You can also evaluate price by estimating the company's earnings for
|
|
|
|
all the years ahead and then discounting them to their present value.
|
|
|
|
A company's stock price is essentially a reflection of all its
|
|
|
|
expected future earnings, discounted at an appropriate rate. If your
|
|
|
|
calculations suggest the total discounted earnings of a company will
|
|
|
|
result in a valuation of $80 per share, and the stock is currently
|
|
|
|
trading for $60 per share, you're possibly looking at a real bargain.
|
|
|
|
Value
|
|
|
|
Once you have a handle on a company's quality and its price, you can
|
|
|
|
begin to make a judgment on what the intrinsic value of the company
|
|
|
|
should be. Before we go any further, know that there are many
|
|
|
|
different investing styles, and many different ways to value stocks
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/school/howtovaluestocks.htm>. Some investors
|
|
|
|
focus primarily on finding undervalued companies, paying close
|
|
|
|
attention to a stock's price. Others consider price, but focus more on
|
|
|
|
the quality of the business. Both of these are Foolish approaches.
|
|
|
|
What is un-Foolish is simply to look for rapidly growing companies,
|
|
|
|
regardless of price or quality, or to only examine charts of a stock's
|
|
|
|
price movements and its trading volume.
|
|
|
|
Learning More
|
|
|
|
Success in analyzing individual businesses and ultimately investing in
|
|
|
|
them is about buying what you understand
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/school/securityanalysis04.htm> the best and
|
|
|
|
constantly refining and adding to your knowledge about companies.
|
|
|
|
Here are some steps you can take to broaden your range of
|
|
|
|
understanding:
|
|
|
|
· Try out the company's product(s) or service(s). Be familiar with how
|
|
|
|
it is improving and what the demand for it is.
|
|
|
|
· Read up on the company. Find books and articles on it.
|
|
|
|
· Check out our discussion boards <http://boards.fool.com/> for any
|
|
|
|
company you're interested in. Online, you can and should ask questions
|
|
|
|
of fellow Fools. In particular, check out the Frequently Asked
|
|
|
|
Questions (FAQ) post that is linked to on the side of many individual
|
|
|
|
company message board posts. (Remember, we offer a painless free trial
|
|
|
|
to our discussion boards, where we suspect you'll find a lot of
|
|
|
|
value.)
|
|
|
|
· Figure out what the company's business model is. How is it making
|
|
|
|
money? How is it organized? How might the model change in the years
|
|
|
|
ahead? On what assumptions is the model based?
|
|
|
|
· Examine the company's competitive environment. What are its
|
|
|
|
competitors up to? Is the company likely to fend off attacks? What
|
|
|
|
advantages does the company have over the competition? Is it at any
|
|
|
|
disadvantage? How is the industry changing and what challenges does it
|
|
|
|
face?
|
|
|
|
· Think about the company's risks. In SEC filings, particularly 10-K
|
|
|
|
reports, the company's management will have explained some risks that
|
|
|
|
they see.
|
|
|
|
· Crunch a bunch of numbers. See just how quickly sales are growing.
|
|
|
|
See what the firm's debt-to-equity ratio is. Determine what its gross
|
|
|
|
margins are.
|
|
|
|
· Talk to people in the business, such as company employees,
|
|
|
|
suppliers, people in stores that sell the company's products,
|
|
|
|
customers of the company, people familiar with competitor companies,
|
|
|
|
and so on. See how they perceive the industry and where it's headed.
|
|
|
|
See what they think of the company you're studying and its future
|
|
|
|
prospects.
|
|
|
|
· · That may seem like a lot to put together -- but
|
|
|
|
remember, that's what this forum is all about, helping Fools
|
|
|
|
understand and put it all together. To learn more about closely
|
|
|
|
studying and evaluating businesses, move on to Step 10: Understand
|
|
|
|
Rule Maker Investing.
|
|
|
|
Also, if you'd like some company as you seek out promising stocks,
|
|
|
|
check out some of our research offerings, such as our well-regarded
|
|
|
|
newsletters: Tom Gardner's Motley Fool Hidden Gems
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/research/decide_hg.htm?source=ihgsitlnk200208>,
|
|
|
|
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor
|
|
|
|
<http://investorplace.com/order/?pc=3DR103&r=d>, Motley Fool Income
|
|
|
|
Investor
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/newsletters/incomeinvestor.htm?source=iiiedilnk925024>,
|
|
|
|
and our many other offerings <http://www.foolmart.com>. We back them
|
|
|
|
up with money-back guarantees.
|
|
|
|
10 Understand Rule Maker Investing
|
|
|
|
Date: 10/7/2003
|
|
|
|
Keywords: Motley Fool
|
|
|
|
The Rule Maker investing philosophy begins with the same premise that
|
|
|
|
all Foolish investment philosophies do:
|
|
|
|
You are the best manager for your money. The Wall Street Wise telling
|
|
|
|
you that you don't have the time or the skills to manage your money
|
|
|
|
profitably are dead wrong.
|
|
|
|
If you go about making your selections properly, in short order you
|
|
|
|
can acquire a portfolio of roughly 10 giant companies that make the
|
|
|
|
rules in our economy. These are companies that, though they are not
|
|
|
|
immune to business cycles, are extremely unlikely to evaporate. With
|
|
|
|
curiosity, discipline, and a little elbow grease, you have a good shot
|
|
|
|
at generating strong returns over the long haul.
|
|
|
|
Leading brand
|
|
|
|
The criteria for identifying Rule Makers begin with looking for the
|
|
|
|
No. 1 brand name in an industry. And not just the No. 1 brand here in
|
|
|
|
America -- we're talking king of the world brands. What companies come
|
|
|
|
to mind when you think of soda, razor blades, diamond rings, and
|
|
|
|
microprocessors? We suspect that most people will name Coca-Cola
|
|
|
|
(NYSE: KO) <http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=KO>, Gillette
|
|
|
|
(NYSE: G) <http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=G>, Tiffany
|
|
|
|
(NYSE: TIF) <http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=TIF>, and
|
|
|
|
Intel (Nasdaq: INTC)
|
|
|
|
<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=INTC>.
|
|
|
|
Mass market, repeat purchase
|
|
|
|
Repeat mass-market purchases also characterize Rule Maker companies.
|
|
|
|
People who aren't NBA stars don't buy many automobiles in a year, so
|
|
|
|
General Motors (NYSE: GM)
|
|
|
|
<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=GM> fails this test.
|
|
|
|
(Unless, of course, the NBA expands to include 6,000 or 7,000 teams.
|
|
|
|
And, even then, we're not sure General Motors is the brand that'll
|
|
|
|
find multiple purchases each year.) Think instead of things you
|
|
|
|
routinely use, either because you like to or you have to: soda, casual
|
|
|
|
clothing, blood-pressure pills, shampoo. Think Coca-Cola, Pfizer
|
|
|
|
(NYSE: PFE) <http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=PFE>, and
|
|
|
|
Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG)
|
|
|
|
<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=PG>.
|
|
|
|
Strong historical performance
|
|
|
|
When searching for Rule Makers, you need to crunch a few numbers --
|
|
|
|
nothing horrific, just a few basic measures of financial performance.
|
|
|
|
We're not talking logarithmic progressions, here, but we do seek to be
|
|
|
|
disciplined with our research. Start with strong historical
|
|
|
|
performance from the company. You're buying with the intention of
|
|
|
|
holding for an extended period of time -- you must be certain they're
|
|
|
|
the kind of companies that richly reward their owners. Check out the
|
|
|
|
10-year record of your companies to make sure they're worthy of
|
|
|
|
attention.
|
|
|
|
Profitable and growing business
|
|
|
|
Rule Makers sport gross margins (gross profits divided by revenues)
|
|
|
|
above 50%, net margins (net income divided by revenues) of at least
|
|
|
|
10%, and sales growing faster than 10% per year. Some companies that
|
|
|
|
pass muster on these counts include drug maker Schering-Plough (NYSE:
|
|
|
|
SGP) <http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=SGP> (gross margins
|
|
|
|
of roughly 80%), Internet infrastructure builder Cisco Systems
|
|
|
|
(Nasdaq: CSCO) <http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=CSCO> (net
|
|
|
|
margins around 16%), and Intel (sales growth topping 12%). The
|
|
|
|
preceding terms are covered in more detail in our Rule Maker Criteria
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/portfolios/RuleMaker/RuleMakerStep6.htm>.
|
|
|
|
Cash is king
|
|
|
|
These are companies that have been around for a while and have been
|
|
|
|
making loads of dough for years. By now they should have a nice big
|
|
|
|
vault of it, with which they can expand their operations in the
|
|
|
|
future, not having to borrow money from anybody else. You can find how
|
|
|
|
fat a company's coffers are by reading the balance sheet. Looking for
|
|
|
|
a low Foolish Flow Ratio is a special metric of Rule Maker investing.
|
|
|
|
The Flow Ratio reveals whether a company is managing cash flow
|
|
|
|
effectively by demanding payment from its customers quickly (an
|
|
|
|
indication of strength), and paying its obligations slowly.
|
|
|
|
Strong financial direction
|
|
|
|
Even more important than past performance, however, is the future.
|
|
|
|
What direction is the company heading? Since a stock's price will
|
|
|
|
always be tied to the current value of future cash flows -- and how
|
|
|
|
the market views this scenario -- you want the present to look better
|
|
|
|
than the past. Hunt for rising margins, a company that's generating
|
|
|
|
boatloads of free cash flow, and low debt. Think about software king
|
|
|
|
Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)
|
|
|
|
<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=MSFT>, armed with almost
|
|
|
|
$25 billion in cash and cash equivalents as of this writing. Compared
|
|
|
|
with industry peers, the Rule Maker candidate should sit at the head
|
|
|
|
of the class.
|
|
|
|
Long-term buy and hold
|
|
|
|
Rule Maker investments are meant to be long term. Once you identify
|
|
|
|
and invest in these powerful companies, you should, for the most part,
|
|
|
|
be able to leave your money invested for a decade or longer. This
|
|
|
|
means you won't be making many buy and sell decisions, and won't be
|
|
|
|
forking over capital gains taxes to Uncle Sam. These companies should
|
|
|
|
only be sold if you find that they have become severely overvalued (a
|
|
|
|
la Cisco in 2000), or if you detect severe financial deterioration.
|
|
|
|
With some deep-discount brokers <http://www.fool.com/dbc/dbc2.htm>
|
|
|
|
charging trading commissions of around $10, a Fool could buy 10 Rule
|
|
|
|
Maker stocks for less than $100, starting with an initial investment
|
|
|
|
between $5,000 and $10,000. This would meet the Foolish aim of keeping
|
|
|
|
commission costs below 2% of the invested principle.
|
|
|
|
There's a lot more involved in identifying and investing in Rule
|
|
|
|
Makers (hey, there's half a book
|
|
|
|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Product_View.asp?PRODUCT_ID=MF139_10>
|
|
|
|
devoted to it), but these are some of the core principles. This
|
|
|
|
tip-of-the-iceberg treatment ought to give you an idea whether the
|
|
|
|
strategy might be one to which you want to devote a little more time.
|
|
|
|
Our Rule Maker goal is to beat the market by a few percentage points
|
|
|
|
annually. It isn't guaranteed, mind you. Beating the market over a
|
|
|
|
10-year period isn't easy, but picking quality companies with lots of
|
|
|
|
cash, powerful brand names, and proven management is a good place to
|
|
|
|
start.
|
|
|
|
You can learn more about the specifics of this approach in our Rule
|
|
|
|
Maker area
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/portfolios/rulemaker/about.htm?ref=RMH>.
|
|
|
|
While the Rule Maker strategy hunts for dominating giants, more
|
|
|
|
advanced, risk-tolerant investors should check out Step 11, where The
|
|
|
|
Motley Fool introduces Rule Breaker investing.
|
|
|
|
And don't forget to consider checking out our well-regarded
|
|
|
|
newsletters that feature lots of promising investments -- The Motley
|
|
|
|
Fool Stock Advisor <http://investorplace.com/order/?pc=3DR103&r=d>,
|
|
|
|
Tom Gardner's Motley Fool Hidden Gems
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/research/decide_hg.htm?source=ihgsitlnk200208>
|
|
|
|
and Motley Fool Income Investor
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/newsletters/incomeinvestor.htm?source=iiiedilnk925024
|
|
|
|
> -- some of the ideas they present will be Rule Makers. We've got
|
|
|
|
many other offerings <http://www.foolmart.com> that can help you
|
|
|
|
become a more successful investor, too.
|
|
|
|
11 Consider Rule Breakers and Small Caps
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Date: 10/7/2003
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Keywords: Motley Fool
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Warning: Rule Breakers are for the most bold and daring of investors.
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|
Those who are brand new to all this investing stuff should understand
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|
the risks involved. So should those who aren't brand new.
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|
Rule Breaker <http://www.fool.com/portfolios/rulebreaker/about.htm>
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|
stocks should make up only a part of any portfolio -- and investors
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|
should be prepared to lose the money they invest in these companies.
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|
However, high risk can bring high reward.
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|
Here are the six main characteristics of Rule Breaker companies:
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|
1. The company should be a top dog and a first-mover in an important,
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|
emerging field. Being top dog in the left-handed scissors industry
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isn't enough. The left-handed scissors industry is pretty mature --
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|
and it ain't going anywhere in the near or distant future. As an
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|
example, in the emergence of electronic commerce Amazon.com (Nasdaq:
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|
AMZN) <http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=AMZN> is the top dog
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and first-mover.
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2. The company needs to demonstrate sustainable advantage gained
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through business momentum, patent protection, visionary leadership, or
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|
inept competitors. Examples include Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT)
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|
<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=WMT> (with net income
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|
gains of 25% during much of the 1980s), Amgen (Nasdaq: AMGN)
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<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=AMGN> (with patent
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|
protection of its drug formulas), and Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)
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<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=MSFT> (with visionary
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|
leadership that benefited from Apple Computer's (Nasdaq: AAPL)
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<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=AAPL> regrettable decision
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not to license its technology).
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3. The market should have rewarded a Rule Breaker's promise with
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strong price appreciation, measured by a relative strength rating of
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|
90 or above. (Relative strength ratings appear in Investor's Business
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|
Daily.)
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4. Look for good management and strong backing. The steel company
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(yes, steel!) Nucor (NYSE: NUE)
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<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=NUE>, led by Ken Iverson,
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|
became a world-class powerhouse by revolutionizing steel production
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|
processes. Also consider the "backing," or supporters of a company.
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|
eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY) <http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=EBAY>
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|
was backed by executives from Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX)
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|
<http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=SBUX> and Sun Microsystems
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|
(Nasdaq: SUNW) <http://quote.fool.com/uberdata.asp?symbols=SUNW>.
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|
5. Rule Breakers should have a strong consumer brand. Again, consider
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|
Starbucks. Its name recognition is much stronger than competitors such
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|
as... um... like.... (Get the point?)
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|
6. It's a good sign when the financial media calls an up-and-coming
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|
company overvalued.
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|
To learn more about Rule Breakers, read The Motley Fool's Rule
|
|
|
|
Breakers, Rule Makers
|
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|
|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Product_View.asp?PRODUCT_ID=MF139_10>.
|
|
|
|
We recommend making Rule Breakers just a part of your overall
|
|
|
|
investment strategy. A completely nutritious Foolish mix might include
|
|
|
|
a bunch of Rule Maker stocks, with a few Rule Breakers thrown in to
|
|
|
|
spice things up.
|
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|
|
The beauty of small-cap investing
|
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|
|
You should consider including a number of small-cap growth companies
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|
|
in your portfolio, Rule Breakers or otherwise. Small-caps give the
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|
|
individual investor a chance to beat the Wise to the punch.
|
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|
The size and structure of most mutual funds and a pesky SEC regulation
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|
|
make it hard for funds to establish meaningful positions in
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|
small-caps. In order to buy a position large enough to make a
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|
|
difference to their fund's performance, they would have to buy 10% or
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|
20% of a small-cap company (which their own guidelines frequently
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|
|
restrict them from doing).
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|
Before they can do that, though, they have to file with the SEC. By
|
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|
|
that time, they've already tipped their hand to the market and
|
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|
|
inflated the previously attractive price by buying 5% of the company.
|
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|
|
Individual investors who have the ability to spot promising companies
|
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|
|
can get in before the institutions do. When institutions do get in,
|
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|
they'll do so in a big way, buying many shares and pushing up the
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|
|
share price.
|
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|
|
Another reason to buy small-cap companies is that they can grow
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|
|
quickly. Small companies are in a much better position than their
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|
|
larger brethren to expand their businesses. Rapidly multiplying
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|
|
earnings often translate into higher share prices.
|
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|
|
The downside of small-caps
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|
|
Small-caps are for experienced investors. Novices should steer clear.
|
|
|
|
You wouldn't go up in a lunar orbiter without prior training, nor
|
|
|
|
should you try small-cap investing until you've cut your teeth on some
|
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|
|
large- and mid-cap issues.
|
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|
|
You should also stay away from small-caps (all stocks, really) if
|
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|
|
you're ponying up your mortgage payment (or any other much-needed
|
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|
|
funds) to make the purchase. The money you invest in small-caps should
|
|
|
|
be money you can afford to lose.
|
|
|
|
Time -- or the lack thereof -- is another dissuading factor. Finding
|
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|
|
good small-caps is a lot of work before and after you've made your
|
|
|
|
purchase. If you don't have the time, energy, or inclination to keep
|
|
|
|
up with the news on your portfolio, you're better off in an index fund
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/school/13steps/stepfour.htm>. We're serious about
|
|
|
|
this. We'd even rather you just pay fees to some expensive mutual fund
|
|
|
|
out there than go into small-cap investing with a lackadaisical
|
|
|
|
attitude. (Wow, did we just say that? Whew! Down, boy.)
|
|
|
|
Finally, if you have a natural aversion to risk, stay away from
|
|
|
|
volatile small-cap growth stocks. If the mere thought of a 5% drop in
|
|
|
|
one day gives you an ulcer, you're better off saving your stomach.
|
|
|
|
Index funds will give you respectable returns without the
|
|
|
|
acid-blockers.
|
|
|
|
Useful Resources
|
|
|
|
You'll also run across some tasty small-caps in our well-regarded
|
|
|
|
newsletters, such as Tom Gardner's Motley Fool Hidden Gems
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/research/decide_hg.htm?source=ihgsitlnk200208>,
|
|
|
|
which focuses on smaller companies. Our other newsletters include The
|
|
|
|
Motley Fool Stock Advisor
|
|
|
|
<http://investorplace.com/order/?pc=3DR103&r=d> and Motley Fool Income
|
|
|
|
Investor
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/newsletters/incomeinvestor.htm?source=iiiedilnk925024>.
|
|
|
|
Check out our other offerings <http://www.foolmart.com>, too! We back
|
|
|
|
them up with money-back guarantees.
|
|
|
|
Now that you've got small-caps under your belt, proceed to Step 12,
|
|
|
|
where even more advanced investing issues are confronted.
|
|
|
|
12 Advanced Investing Issues
|
|
|
|
Date: 10/7/2003
|
|
|
|
Keywords: Motley Fool
|
|
|
|
Derivatives, shorting against the box, ascending trend channels,
|
|
|
|
50-day moving averages, Bollinger bands... ohmigosh! Yes, there are a
|
|
|
|
heck of a lot of high-level, complicated topics in investing.
|
|
|
|
Fortunately for you, most of them are basically nonsense.
|
|
|
|
You can let out a big sigh of relief, because in this step we won't be
|
|
|
|
covering or going into excruciating detail about many of these
|
|
|
|
"advanced" topics. Instead, we'll highlight a few market complexities
|
|
|
|
-- one that's worth running away from (day trading), one that provides
|
|
|
|
a useful chuckle (technical analysis), and a couple that you might
|
|
|
|
consider learning more about and perhaps employing (margin and
|
|
|
|
shorting).
|
|
|
|
Day trading
|
|
|
|
We think the best way to accumulate wealth is to buy stock in great
|
|
|
|
businesses with the intent to hold them for as long as they remain
|
|
|
|
great. But this is easier said than done. When the stock market is
|
|
|
|
surging or plunging, or when you learn of one exciting company after
|
|
|
|
another, it can be hard to refrain from actively buying or selling.
|
|
|
|
Our business-centric message is further challenged by the likes of
|
|
|
|
"day traders," who believe they can wring extra profit by following
|
|
|
|
the stock market by the hour. You've probably seen segments on day
|
|
|
|
traders on your nightly news. It became a fad, as more and more people
|
|
|
|
gave up regular 9-to-5 jobs and spent that time with their eyes glued
|
|
|
|
to computer monitors (and we all know how painful that can be), buying
|
|
|
|
thousands of dollars of stock at a time, holding it for a few hours
|
|
|
|
(or minutes!), and then selling. Sheesh.
|
|
|
|
People "investing" like this aren't really investing. They're
|
|
|
|
gambling. They're not holding on to pieces of strong companies,
|
|
|
|
accumulating wealth as the companies grow. They're making bets that
|
|
|
|
they can out-think others. They aren't participating in the growth of
|
|
|
|
the American economy -- they're betting that they're better guessers
|
|
|
|
than the next guy.
|
|
|
|
They aren't. If you've been around investing for a while, you've
|
|
|
|
noticed that there were significantly fewer advertisements for day
|
|
|
|
trading in 2003 than there were at the heights of the market in 1999.
|
|
|
|
Know why? Because most day traders managed to set their money on fire
|
|
|
|
in the interim.
|
|
|
|
Technical analysis
|
|
|
|
Technical analysis dwells on charts of stock price movements and
|
|
|
|
trading volume. Fundamental analysis, on the other hand, focuses on
|
|
|
|
the value of companies, studying such things as a firm's business,
|
|
|
|
earnings, and competition. While investors from the fundamental school
|
|
|
|
(Fools!) want to understand a business from the inside out,
|
|
|
|
technicians mostly remain on the outside, observing how the stock
|
|
|
|
behaves in the market.
|
|
|
|
Investors who use technical analysis focus on the psychology of the
|
|
|
|
market, scrutinizing investor behavior. They try to determine where
|
|
|
|
the big institutional money is going so they can put their cash in the
|
|
|
|
same places. It's amazing to us to think that anyone might study a
|
|
|
|
stock chart, see a particular pattern, determine that the stock is
|
|
|
|
"breaking resistance," and then commit actual money to that
|
|
|
|
proposition.
|
|
|
|
It's a shortcut to actual analysis. We're sure that there are folks
|
|
|
|
out there who have some aptitude at seeing things in the squiggles.
|
|
|
|
For most people, though, it's just a way to trade more often, and
|
|
|
|
umpteen scholarly studies show the same thing: The segment of
|
|
|
|
individual investors who trade the most tend to do the poorest.
|
|
|
|
Simply put, leave technical analysis alone.
|
|
|
|
Margin
|
|
|
|
Buying on margin means you're borrowing money from your brokerage firm
|
|
|
|
and using it to buy stocks. It's attractive because you can turn a
|
|
|
|
profit using money that you don't even have. For that privilege,
|
|
|
|
you're paying interest to the brokerage, just as with any other loan.
|
|
|
|
(Actually, it's a lot easier to open a margin account than to apply
|
|
|
|
for a bank loan.) If the market turns against you, you either sell for
|
|
|
|
a loss -- plus interest costs -- or hold on until the market picks up,
|
|
|
|
paying interest all the while.
|
|
|
|
Investing with margin isn't an automatic no-no, in our opinion. It
|
|
|
|
should just be used with extreme moderation and caution. Some people,
|
|
|
|
however, will max out on margin, borrowing 50% of the value of their
|
|
|
|
portfolio. We think that's far too risky, and something any investor
|
|
|
|
should avoid.
|
|
|
|
If you already have been investing for a few years and decide to use
|
|
|
|
margin, we suggest you limit yourself to borrowing no more than 20% of
|
|
|
|
your portfolio's value. If you do so and you have $20,000 in your
|
|
|
|
portfolio, you'll be borrowing $4,000 and putting $24,000 to work for
|
|
|
|
you. That's called leverage. A little of it can be useful and not too
|
|
|
|
risky.
|
|
|
|
However, think very carefully before you use margin. If you're
|
|
|
|
borrowing on margin and paying 9% interest, you should be pretty sure
|
|
|
|
your stocks will appreciate more than 9%. If your margined securities
|
|
|
|
fall below a certain level, you'll receive a "margin call," requiring
|
|
|
|
an infusion of additional cash.
|
|
|
|
Only experienced investors should use margin. Indeed, many experienced
|
|
|
|
investors steer clear of it and do very well without it. However,
|
|
|
|
there is one reason why, even if you're not interested in buying
|
|
|
|
stocks on borrowed money, you still might want to open a margin
|
|
|
|
account...
|
|
|
|
Shorting
|
|
|
|
If you've ever swaggered up to a craps table, cleared away the
|
|
|
|
necessary elbow room, and slapped down a few candy-colored chips on
|
|
|
|
the Pass Line, you were doing what most of the people at a craps table
|
|
|
|
do. You were betting with the crowd.
|
|
|
|
Adjacent to the Pass Line, however, is a cheaper strip of real estate
|
|
|
|
(usually a vacant lot) known as the "Don't Pass." It's virtually the
|
|
|
|
opposite bet; you win when the Pass Line crowd loses, and lose when it
|
|
|
|
wins. Because you're betting against the roller and most of the rest
|
|
|
|
of the table, betting Don't Pass is considered bad form. The craps
|
|
|
|
jargon for you is "wrong bettor." Many other bettors will actually
|
|
|
|
dislike you for doing it, a feeling that will be reinforced whenever
|
|
|
|
you smile at dice rolls that make them frown.
|
|
|
|
If you read our discussion boards for very long, you'll notice that
|
|
|
|
short-sellers aren't generally the most beloved of contributors to
|
|
|
|
this forum. Doesn't matter -- they play a valuable role both here and
|
|
|
|
in the public markets.
|
|
|
|
When you short a stock, you are banking on that stock's price going
|
|
|
|
down. You initiate the process of shorting a stock by first borrowing
|
|
|
|
shares from a current shareholder. This may sound difficult, but it
|
|
|
|
isn't. Your discount broker does this for you automatically. You then
|
|
|
|
sell these borrowed shares at the current market price. Then you sit
|
|
|
|
and wait, rooting for the stock to spiral downward. While you wait,
|
|
|
|
you have to pay dividends to the person who actually owns the stock
|
|
|
|
you borrowed (if the stock pays a dividend) and, in some cases, you
|
|
|
|
can also be subject to paying margin interest to the brokerage, just
|
|
|
|
as if you had borrowed money.
|
|
|
|
When you're ready to cash out of your investment, whether for profit
|
|
|
|
or for loss, you close out the position by buying the stock back at
|
|
|
|
the market price so you can return your borrowed shares to the lender
|
|
|
|
-- another thing your broker does for you automatically. That's it.
|
|
|
|
Shorting can offer a couple of potential benefits for your portfolio.
|
|
|
|
First, shorting stock is a "hedge" -- you're taking compensatory
|
|
|
|
measures to counterbalance a potentially plummeting stock market.
|
|
|
|
Outside of its status as a hedge, however, selling stocks short is
|
|
|
|
also a great way to make money. Indeed, if you make the right choices,
|
|
|
|
you can make money both ways -- as the stocks you own rise and as the
|
|
|
|
stocks you have shorted wither. It's tremendous fun! In fact, before
|
|
|
|
we turned Foolish enough to short stocks, we didn't know just how much
|
|
|
|
fun we were missing.
|
|
|
|
Second, and more important, the shorting of stocks is vastly
|
|
|
|
underpracticed by the investment community at large. From a purely
|
|
|
|
Foolish point of view, this makes shorting stock even more compelling.
|
|
|
|
That's because Fools relish a good swim against the tide. When most
|
|
|
|
investors are trying to figure out how many more half-point gains they
|
|
|
|
can squeeze out of their equities, we're looking the other way. We're
|
|
|
|
regarding these same securities from the top down, assessing how far
|
|
|
|
each might fall. The seldom-taken contrary view can be lucrative.
|
|
|
|
A final note: Once in a blue moon, your broker may be forced to return
|
|
|
|
your shorted shares to the anonymous lender, usually because he wants
|
|
|
|
to sell them. Forced into doing so, you'll have to buy back the shares
|
|
|
|
prematurely -- whether you've made money or not. This happens only
|
|
|
|
with very small companies that have few shares outstanding, and is
|
|
|
|
usually just a minor nuisance. Put the money somewhere else.
|
|
|
|
When calculating returns, keep in mind that all the normal steps of
|
|
|
|
buying and selling a stock are still present, just reversed. Both
|
|
|
|
transactions still have a cost basis and a sales price. But, for
|
|
|
|
stocks sold short, the chronological order has been reversed.
|
|
|
|
Shorting stock is one approach that separates the sophisticated
|
|
|
|
investor from the novice. Believing that selling shares short is
|
|
|
|
difficult and highly dangerous, some people pay oodles of money to
|
|
|
|
enter "hedge funds," mutual fund partnerships whose managers short
|
|
|
|
stock and go on margin. Having read this far, you already know most of
|
|
|
|
what these "pros" know, and can do it yourself.
|
|
|
|
Finally, remember that when your "Pass Line" friends find out you're
|
|
|
|
shorting stocks, they may start to regard you as Darth Vader. So, wear
|
|
|
|
dark clothes, a low visor, breathe loud, and milk it.
|
|
|
|
For more on the pros and cons of shorting, check out our Shorting
|
|
|
|
Stocks discussion board
|
|
|
|
<http://boards.fool.com/Messages.asp?bid=100106&source=istfoclnk100124>
|
|
|
|
and read our Dueling Fools debate
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/duelingfools/1998/duelingfools980909short000.htm>
|
|
|
|
on the strategy. And there's a lengthy discussion of shorting in The
|
|
|
|
Motley Fool Investment Guide
|
|
|
|
<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Product_View.asp?PRODUCT_ID=MF141_10>.
|
|
|
|
Also, if you're interested, check out our investing newsletters, which
|
|
|
|
will provide you with monthly suggestions of promising stocks: Tom
|
|
|
|
Gardner's Motley Fool Hidden Gems
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/research/decide_hg.htm?source=ihgsitlnk200208>,
|
|
|
|
Motley Fool Income Investor
|
|
|
|
<http://www.fool.com/landing/newsletters/incomeinvestor.htm?source=iiiedilnk925024>,
|
|
|
|
and The Motley Fool Stock Advisor
|
|
|
|
<http://investorplace.com/order/?pc=3DR103&r=d>. For even more Foolish
|
|
|
|
offerings, visit FoolMart <http://www.foolmart.com>, which is always
|
|
|
|
open.
|
|
|
|
And remember, if all this reading has you sweating about your
|
|
|
|
financial situation, check out our TMF Money Advisor
|
|
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<http://www.fool.com/landing/ma/decide.htm?source=imasitlnk600198>
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service, which offers you personalized, independent, professional
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financial planning advice -- for a fraction of the cost of a typical
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financial planner.
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You're almost home-free, Fool. Now, on to the last step to investing
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Foolishly.
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13 Get Fully Foolish
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Date: 10/7/2003
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Keywords: Motley Fool
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Sure, you can read a pile of Fool books
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<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=82> and
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be more prepared to invest in today's hurly-burly markets than nine
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out of 10 people. But how can you become better able to handle the
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twists and turns of individual stocks than 99 out of 100 investors?
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We've got six words for you, friend, and they ain't "Call market
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predictor Ralph Acampora now."
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They are "Check out The Motley Fool online." Online you will find
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hundreds of additional educational and interactive features, online
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discussions, and much, much, more.
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So where do you begin?
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Get your financial house in order
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Your first goal should be to get your personal finances in tip-top
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shape before embarking on any Foolish investing. In our Personal
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Finance area <http://www.fool.com/pf.htm>, you'll find in-depth
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coverage on such matters as getting a broker, paying for college,
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banking, taxes, investing for kids, and buying insurance, homes, and
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cars. If you've got 60 minutes and $10 to spare, then delve right in
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with one of our How-to guides (also known as online seminars)
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<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=73> on
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your finances. They're definitely worth a roll of quarters, and they
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Learn the basics of investing
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You can then move over to the Fool's School
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<http://www.fool.com/school.htm> for an explanation of different
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investment vehicles, a tutorial on starting an investment club, the
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lowdown on mutual funds, an area that tracks all the major market
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indexes, and an explanation of dividend reinvestment plans. For a more
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interactive experience, check out our "How to Start Investing" How-to
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Guide
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<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Product_View.asp?PRODUCT_ID=MF2601_01>.
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Help is on the way
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We also provide a Help Desk <http://www.fool.com/help/index.htm>, with
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everything from Foolishly Answered Questions (FAQs) about anything
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discussion board. We'll answer your questions right there online. If
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you see any problems or anything you'd like done more or done better,
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simply drop a note at our Improve the Fool discussion board. For
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specific advice on your money matters, nothing beats TMF Money Advisor
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<http://www.fool.com/landing/ma/decide.htm?source=imasitlnk600198> --
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Fool education paired with independent, expert advice.
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Generate investment ideas
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Our commentaries and takes will plug you into the news coming out of
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opportunities -- all with a Foolish touch of analysis. Day in and day
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out, you'll be exposed to issues and lessons important to individual
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investors.
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For those who cannot tune in on a daily basis, we offer an archive of
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everything we publish for each week in our Today's Features page
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<http://www.fool.com/foolwatch/foolwatch.htm>. Bookmark it and you'll
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never miss your favorite features again.
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Our Quotes & Data <http://quote.fool.com/> area offers a number of
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research resources, including earnings estimates, press release
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every stock out there. In addition, you can plug into Securities and
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Exchange Commission filings and dig for all the cool facts and numbers
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that will help you evaluate your investments.
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If you're looking for a regular source of new investment ideas, you
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can subscribe to one or more of our well-regarded newsletters, such as
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Tom Gardner's Motley Fool Hidden Gems
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<http://www.fool.com/landing/research/decide_hg.htm?source=ihgsitlnk200208>,
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Motley Fool Income Investor
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<http://www.fool.com/landing/newsletters/incomeinvestor.htm?source=iiiedilnk925024>,
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and The Motley Fool Stock Advisor
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<http://investorplace.com/order/?pc=3DR103&r=d>. Each month they'll
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provide you with compelling new stock ideas. You always need to decide
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for yourself which stocks are right for your portfolio, but these
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newsletters can give you an important head start. We've got other
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offerings
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<http://www.foolmart.com/Shopping/Catalog_View.asp?CATALOGID=91>,
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available, too - check them out!
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Talk with others
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On our thousands of discussion boards <http://boards.fool.com/>, you
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can debate the value of publicly traded stocks, talk over the merits
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of a new approach to investing, get money-saving tips, or just ask
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whatever question happens to pop into your head. (You can also enjoy
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many purely social boards, along with boards centered around
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non-financial topics, such as pets, children, sports, jobs, quitting
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smoking, religion, cooking, and many other things.) Full access to
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hundreds of boards costs as much as a modest magazine subscription,
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and we offer a painless, no-credit-card-required free trial, too. You
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owe it to yourself to check it out!
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Your Fool
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When you register
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<http://www.fool.com/community/register/RegisterUS.asp?source=default>
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with the Fool, you can set up your own, customized Fool page
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<http://my.fool.com/Index.aspx>. "My Fool" allows you to quickly view
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your portfolios and favorite Fool features all on one page. You can
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also change your Fool preferences such as your email address, your
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password, and your personal profile. Finally, My Fool lists all of the
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perks we offer you as a member of The Motley Fool. Check My Fool often
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to see the new offerings.
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Bringing it all together
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Investing is not just something you do once -- it is an ongoing
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process that requires time and attention. A solid, well-diversified
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portfolio that moves beyond simply buying an index fund requires
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work... work that you can do at The Motley Fool online, sharing with
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other Fools as you go along. Whether it is in our educational areas or
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out on the discussion boards, you can hang out with Fools and work
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together to beat the pants off Wall Street. You're not alone.
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Welcome, and Fool on!
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