38 lines
1.1 KiB
Plaintext
38 lines
1.1 KiB
Plaintext
CONTENTS
|
|
|
|
Acknowledgements V
|
|
|
|
1. Introduction: Energy and History 1
|
|
Energetic and Ecological Foundations of Human History 5
|
|
The Next Energy Transition 8
|
|
|
|
2. Energy Futures 13
|
|
Four Energy Futures 13
|
|
Views of the Future 13
|
|
|
|
3. Climate Change and Peak Oil 34
|
|
Climate Change 34
|
|
Energy Reserves and Production Peaks 38
|
|
Collapsing Oil Exports 43
|
|
Associated Issues 50
|
|
|
|
4. Descent Scenarios 56
|
|
Scenario Planning 56
|
|
Interaction of Peak Oil and Climate Change 57
|
|
The Four Energy-Descent and Climate-Change Scenarios 60
|
|
Scenarios Summary 89
|
|
|
|
5. Interpreting the Scenarios 90
|
|
Global and Local Perspectives 90
|
|
Cuba: Brown Tech, Green Tech, or Earth Steward 92
|
|
Depressing and Positive Scenarios 94
|
|
Different Scenarios in Different Places 96
|
|
Stepped Energy-Descent Pathways Linking the Scenarios 97
|
|
Nested Scenarios 101
|
|
Relevance of Mainstream Ideas of Sustainability to Energy Descent 104
|
|
Relevance of Environmental Principles 107
|
|
Meta-Scenarios of Permaculture 108
|
|
|
|
6. Conclusion 113
|
|
Notes 117
|