Commit Graph

31 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Hermes
9f09d39232 Promote compliance mapping to triad-wide scope at ideas/ root
Moved from ideas/passepartout-economics/compliance-framework-reference.org
to ideas/compliance-framework-mapping.org. This is a cross-cutting document
— compliance frameworks affect Logos (gate certification), Stoa (hardware
attestation), and Agora (marketplace/pds certification), not just economics.

Updated filetags to reflect triad-wide scope.
Updated all internal file: links with passepartout-economics/ prefix.
Expanded from 4 to ~33 frameworks across US, UK/EU, Asia-Pacific, Latin
America, and international organizations (World Bank, IFC, FATF, OECD, UN).
2026-05-23 06:06:13 +00:00
Hermes
fce952e900 Expand compliance study to global master mapping: 30+ frameworks across OECD + international orgs
Major expansion of compliance-framework-reference.org from 4 frameworks (HIPAA,
SOC 2, GDPR, FedRAMP) to ~33 frameworks covering:

US: SOX, GLBA, NY DFS 500, CCPA/CPRA, Quebec Law 25
UK/EU: UK GDPR, NIS2, EU AI Act, DORA, eIDAS 2.0, CRA
Asia-Pacific: APPI (Japan), ISMAP (Japan), PIPA (South Korea),
  Privacy Act/Australia, APRA CPS 234, IRAP, DPDP Act (India)
Latin America: LGPD (Brazil), LFPDPPP (Mexico)
International: ISO 27001, ISO 27701, Basel III, FATF AML/CFT,
  IFRS 17, OECD Privacy/AI Principles, World Bank ESF, IFC PS,
  UN/CEFACT

Each entry: what it is, who must comply, penalties, first-mover
advantage analysis. Added First-Mover Window Analysis table
(Critical/Wide/Mature/Latent) and Expanded Revenue Table with
30+ rows mapping framework → price → addressable orgs → revenue
potential → window → gate rule type.
2026-05-23 06:02:39 +00:00
Hermes
3063f8fdf7 Normalize all passepartout-economics to inline wiki links
Replaced every bottom-of-section 'See also:' block with inline
Org-mode file: links at the first natural mention in body text.
All 29 files across the economics directory now use wiki-style
inline cross-references rather than standalone reference blocks.
2026-05-23 05:58:18 +00:00
Hermes
5a2fce162a Inline cross-references throughout compliance reference
Replaced bottom-of-section 'See also' blocks with inline Org-mode file: links
at the first natural mention of each concept, wiki-style. Links now live in
the body text — compute-marketplace, verification-monopoly, domain-gate-packages,
infrastructure-lock-in, evaluation-harness all linked at their first relevant
usage per section.
2026-05-23 05:51:54 +00:00
Hermes
2300cd4009 Add compliance framework reference: HIPAA, SOC 2, GDPR, FedRAMP
Each framework defined with: what it is, who must comply, penalties,
relevance to the triad revenue model. Revenue table at bottom maps
each to gate package price, what it buys, and the buyer segment.
Cross-references the full economics knowledge base.
2026-05-23 05:45:20 +00:00
Hermes
7b2ea7f28d Add Thoth to competitive analysis; refine compute marketplace thesis
- Thoth: new Category 2 entry (Personal AI Assistants), LangGraph ReAct
  agent with knowledge graph, Developer/Designer studios, 151K LOC
- Compute marketplace: answer the structural question 'why buy compute
  if every user runs their own Passepartout?' — three structural reasons:
  specialized proof libraries, certification weight, bootstrap verification
2026-05-23 05:36:27 +00:00
Hermes
b2ec6e9c65 Fix OpenCode entry: correct repo is anomalyco/opencode (163K★, Bun/TS), not the archived Go version 2026-05-22 11:09:35 +00:00
Hermes
7610d3a457 Add comprehensive competitive analysis of 8 AI agent platforms 2026-05-22 10:58:10 +00:00
Hermes
77b3bb6e6a Add collective regression suite spec — how the evaluation harness compounds across instances 2026-05-22 00:42:50 +00:00
Hermes
db253a70d5 Add two new nodes: Lisp Machine security (PMP/ECALL architecture) and Common Logic relevance analysis 2026-05-21 19:59:59 +00:00
Hermes
303e8c6306 Convert cross-references from [[id:uuid]] to [[file:name.org]]
All 117 inter-node links now use [[file:node-name.org][title]] format
which renders as clickable hyperlinks in both Emacs (C-c C-o) and
web-based org renderers (Gitea, GitHub). Each node retains its :ID:
UUID property for Emacs org-roam database features (backlinks,
capturing, node-find).

Prev format: [[id:uuid][title]] — Emacs only, dead text on web
New format:  [[file:name.org][title]] — works everywhere
2026-05-21 19:40:54 +00:00
Hermes
9b2be10c77 Restructure economics doc into 27 org-roam interlinked nodes
Replace monolithic passepartout-economics.org with directory of
org-roam style nodes, each with :ID: property and cross-references
using [[id:uuid][title]] format.

27 nodes organized by theme:
- Core: index, triad overview, agora, stoa
- Revenue: verification appliance, domain gate packages, evaluation
  harness, skill marketplace, agora usernames, PDS service, compute marketplace
- Strategy: investment thesis, moats, licensing, patents, AI industry impact
- Analysis: lisp economics, sufficiency flip, time estimates, cost structure,
  gate rule encoding, upgrade lifecycle, biology parallels, symbolics comparison
- Big money: verification monopoly, infrastructure lock-in

Old file kept as archive with redirect links to new structure.
2026-05-21 19:36:02 +00:00
Hermes
747419e2e0 Add Agora username registry and PDS-as-a-service revenue paths 2026-05-21 19:32:50 +00:00
Hermes
da307c5cad tam-business: ~T addressable market, 3-tier monetization model
TAM: ~60B across cloud (00B), AI API (0B), OS (00B),
social media (00B), payments (00B), productivity (0B),
compliance (0B). Even 1% is 0B/year.

Low-hanging fruit (months): verification appliance (-50K/unit),
gate rule subscriptions (0-100K/yr each), evaluation certification
(0-200K), migration services (00-500K). Year one: -12M.

Medium-term (1-3 years): compute marketplace (Agora spread), Relay
Network (per-message fees), Lisp Machine appliance (0-100K/unit).

Big money (3-10 years): verification monopoly (UL for AI agents),
infrastructure lock-in (compounding switching costs), planetary
compute marketplace (network effects at scale).

Thesis: low-hanging fruit sustains development. Medium-term builds
network effects. Big money is venture-scale. The early player
benefits from every other instance because the network effects
are positive sum — this is the AWS of provable computing.
2026-05-21 19:27:48 +00:00
Hermes
3a02e847f9 estimates-revised: velocity-driven timeline, self-writing triad
- Observed velocity: v0.4.0 to v0.7.2 in one day, 80+ Lisp commits.
  Bottleneck is human review of Screamer-flagged 5%, not coding.
- Revised: v1.0.0 in 3-5 weeks (~80 cycles, 2-3h human review).
  Lisp Machine hardware in 2-4 weeks (~60 cycles, ~4-6h review).
  Full Stoa v2.0.0 (editor, browser, shell) in 2-3 weeks.
  Total to self-driving Lisp Machine: 8-12 weeks.
- Beyond bootstrap: system writes Stoa (~150K lines), Agora (~100K),
  hardware VHDL (~50K). Human only writes design decisions and
  reviews the 5% edge cases Screamer flags.
- The triad replaces every layer of computing: cognition, environment,
  network — one gate stack, one prover, no cloud, no gatekeeper,
  no per-token fee. A complete alternative infrastructure that
  the system writes itself, one ACL2-verified submission at a time.
2026-05-21 19:22:24 +00:00
Hermes
434f754c15 triad: Logos (Passepartout), Stoa (the Porch), Agora (the Society)
- Passepartout IS the PDS — memory-object (SHA-256 hash) maps
  directly to Agora Note (CIDv1). Gate stack verifies every note.
- Stoa: Lish editor + Nyxt browser + Lish shell in one Lisp image.
  v2.0.0→v6.0.0: Qt/WebKit erosion to pure-Lisp browser, tagged
  RISC-V hardware, world models.
- Agora: self-sovereign DID, DIDComm, Note primitives, Relay Network,
  compute marketplace, contracts, liquid democracy.
- The triad replaces every layer of the modern computing stack:
  cognition, environment, network, app model, compute, identity,
  commerce — all built on one gate stack, one memory model, one prover.
- Agora implementation is a separate body of work comparable to
  Passepartout itself.
2026-05-21 19:17:28 +00:00
Hermes
d48925de23 estimates: LOC and dev time for self-driving Lisp Machine
- Current Passepartout: ~10,700 lines, 2 months one dev
- To v1.0.0: +4,500 lines, 4-6 months
- Lisp Machine hardware integration: +6,000 lines, 3-6 months
- Total: ~21,000 lines, 9-14 months one dev, 5-7 months team of 2-3
- Why small: Lisp is 3-10x denser, primitives are reused across
  domains, ACL2 proofs replace test fixtures, LLM generates boilerplate
- Comparison: Hermes ~50K, Claude Code ~100K, Llama.cpp ~200K
- Not a moonshot. A well-scoped engineering project.
2026-05-21 19:05:28 +00:00
Hermes
80daaa4830 lisp-machine-bootstrap: all software domains flip in days-weeks
- Every subdomain for bootstrapping the Lisp Machine is software:
  RISC-V ISA, SBCL runtime, ACL2 logic, CIC type theory, compiler
  optimization, device drivers. Every one flips.
- Fastest sequence: Day 1 ingestion (LLM + human review), Day 1-2
  profiling (benchmark sweep), Day 2-3 active probing (synthetic
  microcode routines), Day 3-7 transfer + sufficiency (ACL2 verifies
  new dispatch routines, zero LLM tokens)
- Result: self-driving Lisp Machine in under a month with one
  human review session and a Tenstorrent P150
2026-05-21 18:58:26 +00:00
Hermes
2d0d6d478a per-domain flip: knowledge types and fastest acquisition
- Sufficiency flip is per-domain, not global. Poetry never flips.
- Three knowledge types: structural (published rules), empirical
  (observations), performance (profiling data)
- Fastest acquisition: active sandboxed probing, contrastive queries
  to human (not waiting for HITL to accumulate), ontology transfer
  from related domains, benchmark harness
- Codified domain: flip within days (hours LLM + hours expert review)
- Uncodified learnable domain: flip within weeks (probe + real use)
- Never-flip domains: system is honest, LLM handles 100%
2026-05-21 18:55:11 +00:00
Hermes
b5d59c3360 llm-ability: coding skill is a speed multiplier, not a gate
- LLM proposes code at every bootstrap stage (microcode, CIC kernel,
  macro layers, gate rules) — symbolic engine verifies before accepting
- Weak model = more retries (5-15), strong model = fewer (1-3)
  Both produce 100% verified output because the symbolic engine catches
  all mistakes
- The critical transition: not better LLMs, but the sufficiency flip
  applied to hardware. Once enough facts about runtime behavior
  accumulate, the system proposes microcode optimizations with zero
  LLM tokens.
- Surprise result: a barely competent LLM is sufficient for the full
  bootstrapping chain. It's slower and costs more in API calls, but
  reaches the same destination.
2026-05-21 18:52:19 +00:00
Hermes
f9085a4690 refactoring: semantic equivalence boundary, self-driving Lisp Machine
- ACL2 proves semantic equivalence for Passepartout's own Lisp code
  today; for other languages via logical specification modeling
- CIC prover (future) extends to dependent-type-level equivalence
  across language boundaries
- Self-driving threshold: when system can synthesize and load its
  own FPGA microcode or RISC-V dispatch from within the running image
- Tenstorrent P150 (72 RISC-V cores) is particularly interesting:
  microcode is RISC-V software, not FPGA hardware — system writes,
  compiles, loads, benchmarks its own core dispatch logic
2026-05-21 18:47:49 +00:00
Hermes
852fcae4a6 refactoring: neurosymbolic planner for large codebase changes
Six-stage workflow: codebase ingestion (AST as facts), goal translation
(LLM, 10%), Screamer constraint satisfaction (80%), ACL2 plan verification,
incremental execution with Merkle snapshots per step and rollback on test
failure, final re-verification.

Key limit: ACL2 cannot prove semantic equivalence of arbitrary programs.
Gap filled by: tests as empirical verification, API contract checking
(structural equivalence of public interfaces), human review with full
provenance of semantic changes.

Comparison with Claude Code: Passepartout trades higher up-front planning
overhead for zero-token constraint checks, ACL2-verified scope control,
instant per-step rollback, and a Merkle chain from before to after.
2026-05-21 18:32:19 +00:00
Hermes
18b7c2f06f distribution: tiers, upgrades, and the divergence problem
Three distribution tiers: code-only (AGPL), code+knowledge (commercial
data package), code+knowledge+hardware (verification appliance).

The upgrade challenge: instances diverge in both code and knowledge.
A 'git pull' breaks because new code expects fact structures the old
store doesn't have. Solved by:
- Ontology versioning flags old facts for re-verification
- Degradation to fallback mode, not crash
- Reversible upgrades via Merkle snapshots
- Delta distribution (diffs against current ontology version)
- Per-instance verified migration (run new code against old facts in
  sandbox; ACL2 reports compatibility; operator reviews only failures)

Business model: code free, migration scripts subscription, domain
knowledge packages subscription, firmware bundled with hardware.
2026-05-21 18:22:23 +00:00
Hermes
d32ae4fcb0 reframe: why C won in the 80s and why Lisp is cheaper now
- 1980s: memory K/MB, 1-10MHz CPUs, simple software, testing-sufficient.
  C fit in 64KB; Lisp needed 40MB and GC cycles. The market chose throughput.
- Today: memory and transistors are free (billions on an ARM core).
  Software is too complex for testing alone. Cost of failure > cost of
  verification.
- Inversion: 1980s said correctness is a luxury. 2020s says correctness
  is the only affordable option.
- Passepartout exploits this: verification appliance for K/year replaces
  00K/year in compliance failures.
2026-05-21 18:19:26 +00:00
Hermes
43b83c595a insights: Lisp vs C hardware fork, Passepartout reversal path, microbiology parallels
- The historical fork: C won on economics, not merit — RISC/commodity PC
  ecosystem optimized for C, not for Lisp
- Passepartout's reversal path: verification appliance vertical → FPGA
  Lisp μcode → custom ASIC economics
- Lisp for embedded: compile-to-C (ECL, PreScheme), tiny Lisps (uLisp,
  FemtoLisp), Lisp-as-macro-generator for C
- Microbiology as Lisp: DNA homoiconicity, hot-reloadable image, auto GC,
  interpreted execution, self-modifying source, duck typing, concurrent
  real-time GC (apoptosis)
- Biology proves the Lisp model is efficient at planetary scale
2026-05-21 18:17:08 +00:00
Hermes
0ffad4c315 ideas: Passepartout — patents, moats, economics, design implications
Distillation of discussion with Amr on 2026-05-21 covering:
- Patentability of probabilistic-deterministic split, Merkle memory,
  gate-to-fact bootstrap, macro-layer-as-skill architecture
- AGPLv3 vs MIT for provable-correctness claims
- Moats: empirical decision history, evaluation harness, infrastructure
  integration (time is not the primary moat)
- LLM-as-translator for codified domains (FAR, HIPAA, ISO) —
  encoding cost drops to near-zero for published regulations
- Revenue models: Lisp Machine appliances, gate rule subscriptions,
  evaluation harness certification, skill marketplace
- Impact on AI/GPU industry: token demand compression, GPU inference
  plateau, hyperscaler competition shifts to gate rule libraries
- Transition dynamics: sufficiency within months for codified domains
2026-05-21 17:12:17 +00:00
Hermes
3b07a232cf add cloudflare infrastructure setup guide for tunnels, domains, and token rotation 2026-05-11 18:36:36 +00:00
0821b2b10a add: methodology conventions 2026-05-11 08:29:27 -04:00
Hermes
f4dce52f46 fix: allow .md in methodology/ to be tracked 2026-05-11 12:28:58 +00:00
Hermes
f5831399cb add: methodology directory 2026-05-11 12:24:26 +00:00
root
5dd38db935 init: brain directory structure 2026-05-11 02:02:01 +00:00